Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23c5366f832996e2a143d7c41fe4c3bc30f21502560bcfa00e3c174625a4b231
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dalian Yingbo FCof Zhejiang Zhiye FC, Dalian Yingbo FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Dalian Yingbo FC | 74c | 2,703$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.7 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 78c | 2,680$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.08 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 31c | 1,348$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.97 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 25c | 901.3$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.31 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f77…60b5backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 30c | 667.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Dalian Yingbo FC | 70c | 580.85$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 29c | 256$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 26c | 236.46$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 25c | 204.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.18 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 74c | 180.22$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.86 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Dalian Yingbo FC | 68c | 128$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +17.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 72c | 107.34$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 26c | 79.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 25c | 76.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 27c | 70.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 74c | 66.54$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 27c | 61.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 71c | 36.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Dalian Yingbo FC | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Dalian Yingbo FC | 67c | 31.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 69c | 25.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked Dalian Yingbo FC | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.