Asian League · resolved market
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3907564b188268c73aaf6efb826f358129b93b77f2fd66d0cf639f692a90facd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 68c | 14,706$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,705.86 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 12,418$4,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800.87 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 31c | 3,671$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.2 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 3,589$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +14.4wins | +0.21per pick | 14cpaid | +170%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Over | 69c | 2,897$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.82 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 1,543$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.31 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 33c | 1,501$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.42 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 36c | 1,007$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.89 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 51c | 810.04$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.12 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 36c | 800$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 37c | 588.89$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.24 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Over | 45c | 521.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.1 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 34c | 411.36$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.59 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 32c | 373$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.36 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Under | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 5c | 240$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65c5…7ba3backed Over | 33c | 199.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.49 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5df…da1fbacked Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 44c | 156.66$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.73 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 68c | 140$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 34c | 108.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 35c | 101.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 320 | 60%192 W · 128 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 67c | 99.08$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 47c | 83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 729 | 44.2%322 W · 407 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6a…77b8backed Under | 68c | 73.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…79b1backed Over | 45c | 73.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 31c | 73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 31c | 46.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 54c | 38.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 35c | 35.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5111…a164backed Under | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Over | 37c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 51c | 29.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 565 | 45.5%257 W · 308 L | -24.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 55c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 72c | 18.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.