Asian League · resolved market
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74c1aa6dac5e8dfd8d368fa4f287732e31c223568d50a163907757093449ddd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 57c | 3,889$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.48 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 29c | 2,486$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.03 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 1,800$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.82 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 56c | 884$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.04 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 24c | 543.81$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.26 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…311abacked Over | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +80%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Under | 75c | 330$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Over | 44c | 242.57$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.63 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 41c | 130.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.22 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Under | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 44c | 51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 77c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.