Mls · resolved market
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x156db1232ac4a0d223f72d8839e9d2257aab990b1cdfd3859f23b9746de303ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Red Bullsof Inter Miami CF, New York Red Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed New York Red Bulls | 52c | 70,293$36,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,559.19 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Inter Miami CF | 48c | 45,737$21,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,953.74 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Inter Miami CF | 47c | 8,075$3,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,795.25 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Inter Miami CF | 43c | 5,954$2,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,563 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c94…5939backed Inter Miami CF | 47c | 4,730$2,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x047f…6f34backed Inter Miami CF | 48c | 3,568$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Inter Miami CF | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Inter Miami CF | 47c | 977.56$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.45 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Red Bulls | 51c | 831.67$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.33 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…5058backed Inter Miami CF | 44c | 569.13$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked New York Red Bulls | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Inter Miami CF | 48c | 540.8$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.15 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Inter Miami CF | 47c | 488.77$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.72 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Inter Miami CF | 47c | 440.51$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.54 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Red Bulls | 63c | 422.16$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.83 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Inter Miami CF | 33c | 400$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.63 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Red Bulls | 60c | 372.55$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.46 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf50f…0586backed Inter Miami CF | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Inter Miami CF | 47c | 228$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.16 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Inter Miami CF | 48c | 213$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.24 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked New York Red Bulls | 61c | 176.32$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.18 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed New York Red Bulls | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked New York Red Bulls | 60c | 132.5$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.49 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Inter Miami CF | 42c | 125$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed New York Red Bulls | 58c | 125$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed New York Red Bulls | 61c | 123.3$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed New York Red Bulls | 62c | 121.96$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Inter Miami CF | 41c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed New York Red Bulls | 61c | 111.67$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed New York Red Bulls | 58c | 107.3$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…b28bbacked New York Red Bulls | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Inter Miami CF | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed New York Red Bulls | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf234…bbc5backed Inter Miami CF | 48c | 68.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Inter Miami CF | 48c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Inter Miami CF | 47c | 53.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Inter Miami CF | 48c | 50.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked New York Red Bulls | 58c | 50.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed New York Red Bulls | 62c | 48.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +8.5wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Inter Miami CF | 42c | 44.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed Inter Miami CF | 52c | 44.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Inter Miami CF | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked New York Red Bulls | 61c | 39.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed New York Red Bulls | 64c | 38.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed New York Red Bulls | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -9.8wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked New York Red Bulls | 61c | 37.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed New York Red Bulls | 70c | 37.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…a6eabacked Inter Miami CF | 47c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Inter Miami CF | 48c | 33.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked New York Red Bulls | 64c | 32.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked New York Red Bulls | 64c | 32.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed New York Red Bulls | 64c | 32.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b74…1e21backed Inter Miami CF | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed New York Red Bulls | 65c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Inter Miami CF | 35c | 28.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed New York Red Bulls | 64c | 26.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked New York Red Bulls | 69c | 25.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed New York Red Bulls | 70c | 23.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed New York Red Bulls | 54c | 21.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked New York Red Bulls | 70c | 16.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed New York Red Bulls | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)this page
- Inter Miami CF vs. New York Red Bulls: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Inter Miami CF vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 2.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)New York Red Bulls won
- Spread: New York Red Bulls (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: New York Red Bulls (-2.5)Inter Miami CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.