TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Inter Miami CF vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,045
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,429

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,045 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc72d…fc21backed Under42c10,600$4,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,451.864062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over58c4,479$2,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,896.7747748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb22…6478backed Under42c2,568$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.6215647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Over58c2,141$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.224949%24 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over52c2,050$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.985042%21 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over58c1,820$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.45056%28 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Over58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.144656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under45c1,095$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.3378344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over58c780.74$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.911553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under11c559.8$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1358043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1726…6c90backed Over58c480.17$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c472.54$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.763,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over47c412.4$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.9720554.6%112 W · 93 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over66c397.5$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.233652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c386.21$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.9377751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under48c345.38$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.7887154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over55c275.13$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.135942.4%25 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Over47c260$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.6811441.2%47 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Under53c260$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.688853.4%47 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over52c222.08$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.639567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over68c220.59$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.59475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+40.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x397f…e190backed Under50c216$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe866…f69cbacked Over50c215.08$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x265b…a66cbacked Under50c214$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ced…cbfabacked Over50c209.77$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5478…692cbacked Under51c209$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over47c208.54$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.6929460.5%178 W · 116 L+36.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x9508…4ec1backed Over50c207.49$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ff5…a8d3backed Over49c207.41$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6947…0effbacked Over49c206.59$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under24c205.82$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.41,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd11b…437dbacked Under51c205$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7fd…1395backed Over50c203.23$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe64…e1ffbacked Over50c201.92$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeeb2…77ccbacked Under50c201$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x613d…7173backed Under50c199$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1252…2fc2backed Under50c198.01$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9c…4c98backed Under51c198$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2df3…f19abacked Under50c197$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a21…1758backed Over50c196.33$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5874…eda8backed Over49c194.16$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0347…22a1backed Over50c192.51$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca70…5ba5backed Under50c192$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9285…f47dbacked Under51c192$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e31…301fbacked Over50c191.67$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…788bbacked Under50c191$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over50c187.78$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.5431158.5%182 W · 129 L+27.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x24aa…a90ebacked Over49c185.84$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6945…873dbacked Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8210250%51 W · 51 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccbd…f1b7backed Under45c174.82$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.67250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7539234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Under28c149$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.14447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Under10c137.55$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.76825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-53.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under46c132$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7212849.2%63 W · 65 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over52c121.3$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1396756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under37c120$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5125934.4%89 W · 170 L-28.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under34c110.81$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3348344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over49c102.61$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.615431.5%17 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422975.9%22 W · 7 L+4.3wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+29.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5258…534ebacked Over77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under41c89.43$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7182044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019645.9%90 W · 106 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7abf…8dd3backed Under49c69.24$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.022263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd41…5afebacked Over55c68.24$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.714100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+103.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over61c59.05$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.751752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d78…29a5backed Under48c58$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8430%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Over59c56.07$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.99977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+49.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over64c54.2$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5130957%176 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over56c52.55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1119172.3%138 W · 53 L+36.8wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+41.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over59c51.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2619560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe495…2efabacked Over52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over62c48.76$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.763943.6%17 W · 22 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8510…e41ebacked Over62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.39771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Over58c46.02$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.338652.3%45 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under41c44.7$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3372850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over52c44.46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.345464.8%35 W · 19 L+7.6wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed Under42c39.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.55255.8%29 W · 23 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158144.4%36 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over56c29.7$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.069250%46 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over56c29.7$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.069452.1%49 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over56c29.7$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.066752.2%35 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5382…8d53backed Under43c26.51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.46633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf68…ed10backed Under53c26.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.73728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick61cpaid-50.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x337d…596dbacked Under50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x959e…d336backed Under50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc60d…dccebacked Under50c24.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc644…0dd5backed Over50c24.82$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over57c24.8$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6615458.4%90 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over57c24.8$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.664959.2%29 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f1e…7bf9backed Over50c24.66$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf210…59afbacked Over50c23.79$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bfe…0741backed Under48c23.63$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.342744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5764…7230backed Over50c23.39$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ddd…3087backed Under50c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over57c22.1$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4919255.2%106 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over57c22.1$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4914151.8%73 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over57c22.1$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4912254.1%66 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaf1…da5dbacked Under50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe95c…7bf2backed Over50c21.74$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b5e…9d13backed Over50c21.21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.