Mls · resolved market
Inter Miami CF vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedb51d50cb511c452d588d891cc0338d274fbf7792f87f0d464f060a0ee4f842
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Under | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 23c | 1,389$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.51 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 77c | 1,144$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.91 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 29c | 1,052$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.01 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 27c | 904.83$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 26c | 878.44$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.61 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 24c | 778.99$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.43 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 16c | 747.5$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.23 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 79c | 696.2$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.2 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 71c | 694.23$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.25 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 76 | 68.4%52 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 79c | 480.4$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.56 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 22c | 439.73$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 7c | 320.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 16c | 291.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 71c | 279.99$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 22c | 278.27$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.53 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 72c | 219.59$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.66 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x523b…cd5abacked Over | 76c | 171.05$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 27c | 170$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 77c | 140$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 30c | 139$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 70c | 139$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Over | 74c | 135.52$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.86 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 73c | 130$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 72c | 125.64$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 72c | 118.56$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 28c | 79.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Over | 73c | 65.72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 73c | 64.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Under | 23c | 61.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 72c | 60.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2559…053bbacked Over | 74c | 32.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…e5d8backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 79c | 15.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633b…ff9ebacked Over | 73c | 13.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Inter Miami CF vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 2.5this page
- Inter Miami CF vs. New York Red Bulls: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Inter Miami CF vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)New York Red Bulls won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)New York Red Bulls won
- Spread: New York Red Bulls (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: New York Red Bulls (-2.5)Inter Miami CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.