Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e4e4309a08d41155751f186c1c562efe059395cffe332c10fc8b837cf0c98e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shandong Taishan FCof Chengdu Rongcheng FC, Shandong Taishan FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 27c | 6,146$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Shandong Taishan FC | 80c | 2,644$2,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.17 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69a1…22b8backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Shandong Taishan FC | 73c | 1,762$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.23 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Shandong Taishan FC | 69c | 1,692$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.74 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Shandong Taishan FC | 72c | 1,232$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.27 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Shandong Taishan FC | 73c | 760.47$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.33 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 33c | 652.24$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.24 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Shandong Taishan FC | 74c | 631.57$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.07 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21b…0167backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 20c | 630.84$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 24c | 398.67$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.01 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Shandong Taishan FC | 72c | 275.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.88 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Shandong Taishan FC | 73c | 159.77$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 36c | 150.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Shandong Taishan FC | 73c | 136.05$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Shandong Taishan FC | 68c | 129.88$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Shandong Taishan FC | 73c | 129.41$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Shandong Taishan FC | 73c | 93.54$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Shandong Taishan FC | 73c | 84.72$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd03f…ae7ebacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 27c | 73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 27c | 69.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Shandong Taishan FC | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Shandong Taishan FC | 73c | 62.9$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Shandong Taishan FC | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Shandong Taishan FC | 68c | 55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Shandong Taishan FC | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shandong Taishan FC | 72c | 49.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Shandong Taishan FC | 73c | 46.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Shandong Taishan FC | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Shandong Taishan FC | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Shandong Taishan FC | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…5300backed Shandong Taishan FC | 73c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 78c | 28.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +33.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Shandong Taishan FC | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Shandong Taishan FC | 73c | 22.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Shandong Taishan FC | 73c | 21.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Shandong Taishan FC | 73c | 20.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Shandong Taishan FC | 73c | 16.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b4…7d38backed Shandong Taishan FC | 72c | 15.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 76c | 13.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)this page
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.