Asian League · resolved market
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bcb96f36baa52f2d06d5cf74d59d1ec244797b6450ea871a4febab5fa05ab92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5318…a461backed Under | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 32c | 2,121$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.04 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 41c | 1,600$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656 | 182 | 53.3%97 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 49c | 1,255$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.94 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Over | 33c | 940.33$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.95 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 40c | 897.1$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.84 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 43c | 779.22$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.54 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 56c | 620.4$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.3 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Over | 41c | 603.29$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.35 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 34c | 483.93$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.95 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 62c | 470$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.62 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Under | 56c | 310.77$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe032…410ebacked Over | 43c | 299.98$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.99 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 248.58$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.42 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…9b29backed Under | 52c | 240.61$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 57c | 186.42$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.43 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 42c | 178.4$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.93 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 36c | 169.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Over | 41c | 160$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Over | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over | 41c | 156$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Under | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 62c | 143.83$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 52c | 129.78$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.94 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 34c | 129.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 43c | 108.34$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 35c | 92.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 66c | 89.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 41c | 88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 44c | 85.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Over | 41c | 75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfc…e101backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Over | 42c | 47.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 58c | 42.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f25…4f11backed Over | 42c | 41.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…c7e6backed Over | 32c | 40.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Over | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 57c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ad…a4a5backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 44c | 29.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed Under | 53c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 60c | 25.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 400 | 51%204 W · 196 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 44c | 25.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 692 | 52.3%362 W · 330 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Under | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7df1backed Under | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.