Asian League · resolved market
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61d8e640952429a85b57fefa6b18fc312cdd7144760ea745e703b8fc66e33074
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 44c | 5,175$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,897.45 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Over | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ede…4284backed Under | 50c | 4,380$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190.07 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 57c | 3,459$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.31 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 51c | 1,879$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.59 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 37c | 1,797$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.44 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 27c | 1,218$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.87 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 808.71$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.25 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 37c | 587.62$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.9 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 37c | 562.5$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.12 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 54c | 560.36$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.12 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 55c | 499.62$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.79 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 40c | 436.19$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.88 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 46c | 380.72$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 21c | 363.49$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…f975backed Under | 51c | 272.55$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa410…f61fbacked Over | 65c | 252.31$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x46cf…42eabacked Over | 45c | 244.16$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.82 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 34c | 242.24$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.3 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 58c | 234.48$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.48 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 39c | 219.78$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.19 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 66c | 205.43$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.09 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 34c | 169.36$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.78 | 185 | 44.3%82 W · 103 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…65dcbacked Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 23c | 148.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 66c | 123.43$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.97 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb138…3733backed Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 32c | 92.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 66c | 89.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…7af0backed Under | 33c | 76.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 59c | 61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 24c | 58.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 273 | 38.8%106 W · 167 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…ee60backed Under | 76c | 58.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 52c | 58.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 67c | 56.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…6461backed Under | 43c | 50.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Under | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +7.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5401…c03dbacked Over | 44c | 45.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…c7e6backed Over | 57c | 40.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Under | 48c | 38.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 54c | 36.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73ec…9659backed Over | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Under | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 44c | 29.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…2e5bbacked Over | 65c | 28.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 65c | 20.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 62c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.