Asian League · resolved market
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x033ba0239430fde9a6f9e978db3a7ba1dae2066866545672c5c41c6a1ce96da0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 60c | 8,340$5,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,004 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 40c | 5,421$2,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,273.59 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 79c | 5,121$4,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.48 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 72c | 3,985$2,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,851.7 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 13c | 3,728$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,228.21 | 95 | 26.3%25 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 3,657$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,322.91 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…5453backed Over | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked Over | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Over | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +188.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Over | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Over | 2c | 955.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.24per pick | 3cpaid | +663.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Over | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 1cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 62c | 662.06$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.19 | 905 | 44.9%406 W · 499 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 15c | 556.24$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.18 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 57c | 537.98$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.89 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff1a…4475backed Over | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 77c | 499.39$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.99 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…442bbacked Over | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 71c | 447.17$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.49 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Under | 18c | 409.33$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.65 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +858.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 9c | 361.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf21b…0167backed Over | 20c | 306.27$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Over | 29c | 251.2$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.55 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 56c | 220$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.43 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 40c | 219.41$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.65 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Under | 61c | 219$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…a952backed Under | 40c | 212.5$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Over | 48c | 208.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Over | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2e…5b64backed Over | 53c | 200$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…df80backed Under | 53c | 186.06$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 15c | 175$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.75 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…f975backed Under | 48c | 152.08$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 51c | 148.11$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 21c | 140.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.66 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 40c | 134.33$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.19 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167c…a88bbacked Under | 14c | 129$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 67c | 126.87$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Over | 23c | 125.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 15c | 118.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 15c | 109.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…2772backed Over | 23c | 107$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ede…4284backed Under | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 44c | 98.34$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 40c | 82.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 40c | 82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 80.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb138…3733backed Over | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…fad2backed Over | 32c | 58.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Under | 78c | 52.51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…c7e6backed Over | 52c | 51.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Over | 57c | 44.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 280 | 40.4%113 W · 167 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed Under | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked Over | 59c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…7347backed Under | 47c | 23.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 80c | 17.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -8.5wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.