Asian League · resolved market
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb838480ea69c1e18684afc95a213e0718ff1681f7680abd7da4f5349ea38759c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 45c | 9,898$4,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,454.27 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked No | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed No | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 45c | 3,997$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.62 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 55c | 3,056$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.31 | 359 | 47.4%170 W · 189 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked No | 45c | 2,824$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.78 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 57c | 2,790$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.77 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 44c | 2,550$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.19 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 55c | 2,357$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.87 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 56c | 2,336$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.99 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 55c | 2,285$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.78 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 62c | 2,037$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.46 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 55c | 1,469$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.01 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 55c | 1,463$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.68 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 3c | 651.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 843 | 42.2%356 W · 487 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Yes | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 55c | 484.84$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.18 | 138 | 49.3%68 W · 70 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 45c | 453.2$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.41 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 46c | 436.81$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.93 | 1,464 | 35.6%521 W · 943 L | -33.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffdf…97f8backed Yes | 51c | 434.8$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Yes | 55c | 418.18$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.18 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 56c | 360$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…9161backed Yes | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 48c | 275.26$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.11 | 169 | 29%49 W · 120 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed No | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed No | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 56c | 204.78$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.16 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…63a5backed Yes | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed No | 46c | 197.96$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.06 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 55c | 181.57$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.61 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Yes | 55c | 181$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.45 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 48c | 158.39$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.7 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 50c | 155.12$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 44c | 142$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 55c | 136.26$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.31 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 55c | 115.42$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 241 | 61.4%148 W · 93 L | +17.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 45c | 114.3$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked No | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9d…1e4bbacked Yes | 50c | 99.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Yes | 59c | 99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 55c | 93$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb1…5d36backed Yes | 58c | 91.28$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 56c | 80.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 762 | 39.2%299 W · 463 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…c5dfbacked Yes | 56c | 80.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 50c | 74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 43c | 73.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 215 | 52.1%112 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Yes | 55c | 73.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade5…56b1backed Yes | 55c | 67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 77c | 64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 57c | 61.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c78…7d67backed No | 45c | 54.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 46c | 50.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…03acbacked No | 45c | 50.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2fea…f2c9backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…5b7fbacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 55c | 39.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Yes | 57c | 37.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d90…7d46backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31df…a49ebacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 50c | 36.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked No | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…3447backed Yes | 56c | 33.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6db…f4adbacked No | 45c | 31.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 46cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 56c | 31.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 307 | 31.9%98 W · 209 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d5…ab3ebacked No | 46c | 30.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked No | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed No | 45c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 56c | 27.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 320 | 60%192 W · 128 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1040…ac10backed Yes | 75c | 26.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Yes | 55c | 24.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed No | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +8.5wins | +0.21per pick | 31cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Yes | 56c | 21.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf0…092dbacked Yes | 56c | 18.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…3a5abacked Yes | 68c | 17.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. FC Machida Zelvia end in a draw?No won
- Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.