Asian League · resolved market
Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0334a015c7e17e9b210f5b2d8d19513d08e6916dd3563fe9e17ce716bd5ffddd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 1c | 3,146$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 17c | 1,687$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.57 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa8…4de1backed Yes | 16c | 723.43$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.35 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 17c | 481.59$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.35 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 18c | 409.82$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.88 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…4cb1backed Yes | 18c | 310.28$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 22c | 275.91$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 169 | 29%49 W · 120 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Yes | 21c | 148$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 18c | 129.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 18c | 119.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 19c | 105$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 16c | 88.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed Yes | 17c | 58.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +8.5wins | +0.21per pick | 31cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked No | 79c | 24.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-08-15?Yes won
- Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. FC Machida Zelvia end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.