Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Larne FC win on 2026-08-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c7b605341236536cde4d010cca9d3b1954b2ab6439cda899ac400bfe603274a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 31c | 15,678$4,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,821.58 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed Yes | 32c | 15,537$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b56…715ebacked No | 68c | 10,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 70c | 6,165$4,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.01 | 571 | 49.6%283 W · 288 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 4,712$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.4 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 67c | 4,212$2,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.49 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 29c | 3,616$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.18 | 978 | 46.2%452 W · 526 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 68c | 3,030$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.68 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Yes | 30c | 2,536$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.71 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 24c | 2,259$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.53 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed No | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27e4…4803backed No | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 1,923$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.97 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 1,729$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.41 | 662 | 50.6%335 W · 327 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…fa78backed Yes | 33c | 1,700$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 1,552$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.87 | 695 | 48.9%340 W · 355 L | +19.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 35c | 1,230$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.85 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 67c | 1,119$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.27 | 1,026 | 47.4%486 W · 540 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 67c | 1,119$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.26 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,102$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.56 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 67c | 727$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.91 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…6b29backed Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 70c | 503.23$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 73c | 464.38$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.92 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x975c…6343backed Yes | 20c | 367.62$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 355.62$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.13 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 67c | 345.13$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.49 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 33c | 337.3$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.31 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 77c | 322.47$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.29 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cd…8e7dbacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 66c | 301.06$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.36 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 77c | 224.99$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.68 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 77c | 216.31$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.41 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 71c | 196.22$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.9 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Yes | 33c | 162$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 31c | 131.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 12c | 128.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 66c | 122$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd629…1e72backed Yes | 30c | 99.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…5e6fbacked Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 64c | 90.87$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 443 | 56.2%249 W · 194 L | +23.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…8525backed Yes | 31c | 85.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 68c | 72.69$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 70c | 70.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 71c | 70.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…8552backed Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 29c | 64.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 68c | 61.55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 1,046 | 50.2%525 W · 521 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a8…6befbacked No | 72c | 60.46$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked No | 76c | 53.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 33c | 50.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 27c | 48.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3743…7bc1backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked No | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…93f9backed No | 70c | 41.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4db…e401backed Yes | 31c | 41.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -77%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 69c | 39.79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Yes | 30c | 38.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8113…720ebacked No | 72c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…03acbacked No | 67c | 36.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 72c | 34.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed No | 71c | 33.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3067…e2a5backed No | 72c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc810…adc1backed No | 78c | 28.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.36per pick | 55cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…fd9dbacked No | 70c | 28.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…dba6backed Yes | 46c | 28.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 66c | 28.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 76c | 26.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 71c | 25.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed No | 72c | 22.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed No | 69c | 20.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed No | 68c | 18.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed No | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Larne FC win on 2026-08-06?this page
- Will Larne FC vs. SK Iberia 1999 end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SK Iberia 1999 win on 2026-08-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.