Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Larne FC vs. SK Iberia 1999 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf53fcf03be01767c16b8979680d3d4d193edcadfb25e6c2696f1dc52abc3a5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 31c | 4,202$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.28 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 31c | 3,536$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.66 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 2,551$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.67 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 1,823$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.73 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 22c | 1,814$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.02 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 69c | 1,611$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.62 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 1,112$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.94 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 42c | 634.16$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.13 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 72c | 507.29$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.53 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 453.96$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.24 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f6…ba20backed No | 15c | 357.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked No | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…e505backed No | 30c | 290.69$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 61c | 249.56$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.54 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 69c | 163.38$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.73 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 69c | 147.12$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.51 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…cdebbacked No | 19c | 130$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 11c | 111$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 61c | 109.44$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.89 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3820…ffc3backed Yes | 30c | 95.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked No | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed No | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 76c | 79.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 66c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 70c | 72.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 20c | 56.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 69c | 56.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed No | 70c | 47.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 71c | 45.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 68c | 42.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 49c | 42.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 70c | 41.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 54c | 38.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 31c | 36.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…75f0backed Yes | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 57cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Yes | 31c | 36.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 72c | 36.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…93f9backed No | 34c | 35.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 32.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 46c | 32.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Yes | 51c | 27.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 69c | 24.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed No | 69c | 22.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 70c | 21.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked No | 69c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 72c | 14.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 88 | 69.3%61 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Larne FC vs. SK Iberia 1999 end in a draw?this page
- Will Larne FC win on 2026-08-06?No won
- Will SK Iberia 1999 win on 2026-08-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.