TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will CD Castellón win on 2026-08-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,900
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,603

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,900 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56ac…d77ebacked No45c6,256$2,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,815.027841%32 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes53c4,053$2,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,905.1599933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8003943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes74c3,965$2,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.74,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes69c3,647$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.842955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No48c2,284$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.4775451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Yes55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9004445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No48c1,761$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.5969750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No32c1,638$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.7883939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Yes64c1,583$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.515446.3%25 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd078…13c9backed Yes51c1,499$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No35c1,429$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.078170.4%57 W · 24 L+10.8wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+31.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No18c1,168$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.263,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47011822.9%27 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbf…c9febacked No50c771.08$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2406…3a12backed Yes51c685.68$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6de0…55efbacked No50c682.61$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No32c656.23$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.4345841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30011252.7%59 W · 53 L+9.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+11.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes53c577.17$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.278947.2%42 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb3…f890backed Yes75c512.8$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.172268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No46c467.98$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.2764457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes50c433.33$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6713445.5%61 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa796…7673backed Yes49c427.8$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked No33c415$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.954465.9%29 W · 15 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed No26c372.69$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.881435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1468…0163backed No50c345.86$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb72…291fbacked Yes55c322$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.9475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+40.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8a0…ff3ebacked No50c319.24$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked No45c312.77$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.751225%3 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-50.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed No46c305.98$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.751435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-46.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked No15c299.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510121.8%22 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked Yes67c284.85$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes54c238.67$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.792454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No34c226.42$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2515444.8%69 W · 85 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked No48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011857.6%68 W · 50 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No49c203.78$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2521354.5%116 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No30c195$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.55366%35 W · 18 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes53c188$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3689050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No34c184.37$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.760832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed No39c178.24$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7012330.1%37 W · 86 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3820…ffc3backed No45c156.6$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.471346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes54c156.21$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.867439.2%29 W · 45 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.065651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43ed…6232backed No36c149.32$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.081844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked No47c129.03$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0218062.2%112 W · 68 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed No46c125.11$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.553145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed No34c124$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.161020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-67.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No33c109.97$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7321139.8%84 W · 127 L-15.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e98…5f4ebacked Yes53c103.77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.77771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick41cpaid+95.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.674738.3%18 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes54c87.03$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.031,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No32c83.31$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4911542.6%49 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed No36c82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.863351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes51c79.98$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1911254.5%61 W · 51 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes54c72.22$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.223661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes53c63.27$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.663452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No18c63.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3541751.8%216 W · 201 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf9a…5000backed No49c63$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No38c61.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3710556.2%59 W · 46 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No48c61$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.071,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Yes54c57.76$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.52356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Yes73c54.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.794062.5%25 W · 15 L+5.7wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+21%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed No49c53.6$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.532157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6240…54c0backed No28c53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.84520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-55.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes72c53$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8474457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No49c47.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.191,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes76c46.96$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.211154.1%60 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe49f…03acbacked No41c46.14$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes75c45.53$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3527758.5%162 W · 115 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No43c41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7710347.6%49 W · 54 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes54c40.77$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7545450%227 W · 227 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Yes53c40.64$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.25862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac64…866ebacked No35c40.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.28666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes74c40.19$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.341,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No33c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.219247.4%91 W · 101 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes75c36.94$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4111251.8%58 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafe3…1f2abacked Yes76c36.84$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.84580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No47c36.8$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.41,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No41c35.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.763553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb664…a5d5backed Yes52c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3491…0242backed Yes68c34.88$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.16560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked No49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick52cpaid-77.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9c0…c6f9backed Yes51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.411631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-44.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4f3…1b6ebacked Yes52c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Yes74c28.47$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.453351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18ca…22c9backed Yes51c26.47$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No41c25.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5123762.9%149 W · 88 L+21.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6951…66f3backed No47c25.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No43c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.77862.8%49 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Yes52c22.09$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.633053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf1d…9591backed Yes51c21.04$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.311154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Yes73c17.53$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7322557.3%129 W · 96 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Yes74c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.122142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x477c…fe04backed Yes76c13.17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.