La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8402f06c0bd548593f40bf8b574e36e0e084355dac66559527b98baf3e6fdadc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 1,705$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.24 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,580$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.14 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 35c | 1,136$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.68 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | +10.8wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 24c | 1,053$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.72 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 76c | 725.09$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.42 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed No | 76c | 698.68$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3a…e974backed No | 69c | 556.6$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.14 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 23c | 422.72$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.23 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 76c | 326.32$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.32 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 78c | 273.39$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 26c | 251.78$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.43 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 76c | 205$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 79c | 179.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 76c | 178.65$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 155.53$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…4f7cbacked No | 76c | 152.97$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 24c | 149.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 15c | 140.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 76c | 131$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Yes | 24c | 116.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Yes | 24c | 112$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…99e6backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked Yes | 12c | 99.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Yes | 21c | 97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 76c | 95.64$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 23c | 84.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 24c | 82.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 21c | 70.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 19c | 57.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 24c | 54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 79c | 49.84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 74c | 41.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 76c | 37.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked No | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Castellón win on 2026-08-14?Yes won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-08-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.