Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: FC København (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc7f3ba65a91631323a2a23b0ed45ee58f21a20869d390f8362f7fdcce22b549
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Københavnof FC København, Silkeborg IF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdc1…bdd8backed Silkeborg IF | 57c | 10,466$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC København | 43c | 6,854$2,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,929.86 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FC København | 36c | 2,507$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.2 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC København | 40c | 2,471$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.27 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed FC København | 42c | 1,886$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.08 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Silkeborg IF | 59c | 1,518$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Silkeborg IF | 64c | 1,364$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.87 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Silkeborg IF | 67c | 1,275$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.77 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FC København | 34c | 1,262$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.35 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Silkeborg IF | 60c | 1,044$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.59 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Silkeborg IF | 65c | 1,002$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.61 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked FC København | 41c | 649.99$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed FC København | 47c | 429.2$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.93 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed FC København | 35c | 321.37$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.89 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FC København | 46c | 267.55$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.75 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Silkeborg IF | 62c | 241.63$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.69 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc357…3684backed FC København | 54c | 231.48$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…326abacked Silkeborg IF | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Silkeborg IF | 55c | 173.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Silkeborg IF | 67c | 151.39$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.43 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ec…f645backed Silkeborg IF | 57c | 138.09$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecc…7551backed FC København | 46c | 136.96$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.96 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0962…6e40backed FC København | 38c | 132.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.55 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked FC København | 40c | 130.73$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.92 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Silkeborg IF | 60c | 128.58$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.15 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed FC København | 35c | 115.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed FC København | 35c | 115.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.08 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Silkeborg IF | 60c | 112.73$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.12 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed FC København | 41c | 109.02$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.09 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed FC København | 44c | 108.71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Silkeborg IF | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed FC København | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 273 | 60.8%166 W · 107 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked FC København | 42c | 78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Silkeborg IF | 56c | 76.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Silkeborg IF | 61c | 67.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed FC København | 43c | 65.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba2c…fddabacked FC København | 35c | 64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…9626backed Silkeborg IF | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed FC København | 39c | 58.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Silkeborg IF | 60c | 44.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…1ca6backed FC København | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…03acbacked FC København | 34c | 34.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Silkeborg IF | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Silkeborg IF | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1dc…48fabacked Silkeborg IF | 65c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Silkeborg IF | 60c | 22.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +43%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Silkeborg IF | 57c | 22.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Silkeborg IF | 64c | 21.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed FC København | 51c | 21.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Silkeborg IF | 59c | 18.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC København (-1.5)this page
- Silkeborg IF vs. FC København: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Silkeborg IF vs. FC København: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Silkeborg IF vs. FC København: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Silkeborg IF vs. FC København: FC København O/U 0.5Over won
- Silkeborg IF vs. FC København: FC København O/U 1.5Over won
- Silkeborg IF vs. FC København: FC København O/U 2.5Over won
- Silkeborg IF vs. FC København: O/U 0.5Over won
- Silkeborg IF vs. FC København: O/U 1.5Over won
- Silkeborg IF vs. FC København: O/U 2.5Over won
- Silkeborg IF vs. FC København: O/U 3.5Over won
- Silkeborg IF vs. FC København: O/U 4.5Under won
- Silkeborg IF vs. FC København: O/U 5.5Under won
- Silkeborg IF vs. FC København: Silkeborg IF O/U 0.5Over won
- Silkeborg IF vs. FC København: Silkeborg IF O/U 1.5Under won
- Silkeborg IF vs. FC København: Silkeborg IF O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: FC København (-2.5)Silkeborg IF won
- Spread: Silkeborg IF (-1.5)FC København won
- Spread: Silkeborg IF (-2.5)FC København won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.