TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Milwaukee Brewersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Milwaukee Brewers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$118,710
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$115,842

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,710 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Milwaukee Brewers62c77,777$48,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,555.251,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Los Angeles Dodgers38c29,605$11,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,2501,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers38c24,491$9,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,306.692,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Milwaukee Brewers27c10,076$2,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,388.4412,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers38c9,794$3,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,721.5371650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers34c8,440$2,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,866.2111,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Dodgers74c7,248$5,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,362.8810,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Los Angeles Dodgers42c5,282$2,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,221.5153448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d12…7954backed Los Angeles Dodgers39c3,337$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.421850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Milwaukee Brewers61c1,903$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.464,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Milwaukee Brewers63c1,500$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.51,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Milwaukee Brewers61c1,500$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.9845252.4%237 W · 215 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Dodgers19c1,323$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.128,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Los Angeles Dodgers38c1,241$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.671,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Dodgers38c1,110$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.686,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers14c1,098$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.724,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Milwaukee Brewers70c1,016$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.292,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Milwaukee Brewers26c998.51$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.3231957.4%183 W · 136 L+23.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Los Angeles Dodgers11c868.54$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.041,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Los Angeles Dodgers39c804.97$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.941,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Los Angeles Dodgers38c716.14$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.1365549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Milwaukee Brewers74c603.58$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.221,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Dodgers14c586$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.918,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers38c550$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.492,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed Los Angeles Dodgers40c517.1$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20513743.8%60 W · 77 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Los Angeles Dodgers39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025751.8%133 W · 124 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Los Angeles Dodgers70c496$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.74,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Dodgers49c461$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.28,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x811a…9a3cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers38c358.05$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.061752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers70c310.9$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.588961.8%55 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Los Angeles Dodgers77c287.5$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.451,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c2…d39ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers38c248.15$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.354642.5%232 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Milwaukee Brewers26c230.63$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3547056.6%266 W · 204 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Milwaukee Brewers26c225.61$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.9573355.3%405 W · 328 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Milwaukee Brewers63c200$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7531844%140 W · 178 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Los Angeles Dodgers39c195.87$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3928751.9%149 W · 138 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Los Angeles Dodgers38c178$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.642,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Los Angeles Dodgers39c169$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.911,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Los Angeles Dodgers38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013344.4%59 W · 74 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Los Angeles Dodgers38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015147.7%72 W · 79 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b94…09dcbacked Los Angeles Dodgers38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011441.2%47 W · 67 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Los Angeles Dodgers39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,16849%572 W · 596 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Los Angeles Dodgers39c121.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.581,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x434a…91cbbacked Milwaukee Brewers27c115.67$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.823839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7982…6aaabacked Los Angeles Dodgers38c101.94$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.743151.6%16 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+27.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Los Angeles Dodgers79c100.79$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6261346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Milwaukee Brewers26c96.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1515052.7%79 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Milwaukee Brewers49c95$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.459,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Milwaukee Brewers26c92.82$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.697266.7%48 W · 24 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Los Angeles Dodgers71c80.02$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9947358.4%276 W · 197 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d3…5639backed Los Angeles Dodgers38c77.61$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4920654.4%112 W · 94 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43ed…6232backed Los Angeles Dodgers22c76.85$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9118244.5%81 W · 101 L-14.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2bb4…4551backed Los Angeles Dodgers38c74.87$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4521152.6%111 W · 100 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Milwaukee Brewers62c74.5$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3125355.7%141 W · 112 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17d9…84afbacked Milwaukee Brewers61c70.98$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.499446.8%44 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Milwaukee Brewers26c61.56$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5646952.5%246 W · 223 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x453d…2dbabacked Los Angeles Dodgers48c60.9$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.234447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Los Angeles Dodgers71c53.4$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.031,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers45c49.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.661,05644.3%468 W · 588 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe49f…03acbacked Los Angeles Dodgers39c49.23$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.27651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c0…0974backed Milwaukee Brewers47c48.89$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.913745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf8c…8f2bbacked Milwaukee Brewers47c48.89$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.916552.3%34 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Milwaukee Brewers61c44.72$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4467444.1%297 W · 377 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed Milwaukee Brewers61c43$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7727252.9%144 W · 128 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Milwaukee Brewers26c42.04$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1131446.8%147 W · 167 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x360a…1098backed Los Angeles Dodgers38c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.23855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33c4…85c2backed Los Angeles Dodgers39c38.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155858.6%34 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xba00…527bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers39c38.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8614351%73 W · 70 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e1…6935backed Milwaukee Brewers29c37.11$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.411353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x003f…3805backed Milwaukee Brewers59c34.29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.165644.6%25 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf236…2e36backed Milwaukee Brewers61c32.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.713930.8%12 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-39.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4cd…c041backed Milwaukee Brewers69c31.97$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9825053.2%133 W · 117 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x657c…66a3backed Los Angeles Dodgers38c31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.788855.7%49 W · 39 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Los Angeles Dodgers37c30.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.463,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers71c26.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9240658.4%237 W · 169 L+2.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x29de…d9e6backed Los Angeles Dodgers71c26.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9355259.6%329 W · 223 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a06…248abacked Los Angeles Dodgers39c26.18$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.212227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-43.7%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xccad…46ecbacked Milwaukee Brewers62c25.8$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.81338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Milwaukee Brewers57c24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2379955.9%447 W · 352 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a85…e543backed Milwaukee Brewers63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4514643.8%64 W · 82 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers75c15.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.621,00058.8%588 W · 412 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.