MLB · resolved market
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf301a9fd8d9949a9242e583b77ea6ce0148e401fb4b82ace5ee9a2668c1b94fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Milwaukee Brewers, Los Angeles Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 6,673$4,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.63 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 31c | 6,309$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.72 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 36c | 4,510$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.66 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5b…7fdcbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 1,830$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.91 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 1,169$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.78 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 77c | 1,108$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.34 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.05 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 41c | 847.91$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.27 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 32c | 801$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.63 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 746.29$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.09 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 318.34$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.87 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 270.69$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 255.94$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.09 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 30c | 105.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 100.88$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 98.57$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Milwaukee Brewers | 31c | 88.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -14.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…3991backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 80.07$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 79.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 23c | 69.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Milwaukee Brewers | 32c | 57.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x453d…2dbabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 35c | 49.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Milwaukee Brewers | 30c | 49.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 32c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…ceafbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 39.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 226 | 53.1%120 W · 106 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…d538backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 73c | 35.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf236…2e36backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1367…9a3abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 33c | 33.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d0…c89bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 33.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 25.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 25.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…0beebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f57…2261backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…99d0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…5ed1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 74c | 17.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 242 | 63.6%154 W · 88 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 16.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 250 | 53.2%133 W · 117 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf8…bebdbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles DodgersMilwaukee Brewers won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles DodgersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.