MLB · resolved market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f1117f33fc0618f98e04189d038bb403b98b16d620a6b4e42c0dcb4b8c37006
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 57c | 21,122$11,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,148.63 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 46c | 14,088$6,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,426.87 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Under | 48c | 6,700$3,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,215.9 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf18…3ca8backed Under | 48c | 4,218$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 43c | 2,032$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.31 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Over | 59c | 1,279$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.37 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 31c | 1,200$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.28 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 79c | 1,014$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.02 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 24c | 764.47$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.99 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 5c | 454$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0c…7f26backed Under | 54c | 370.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 42c | 308.75$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.92 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…3bb3backed Under | 46c | 239.13$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +6.9wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Over | 31c | 170$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.9 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Over | 18c | 170$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.4 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Under | 48c | 142.96$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.37 | 308 | 34.1%105 W · 203 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 42c | 142.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 473 | 46.5%220 W · 253 L | +25.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 60c | 136.79$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.55 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…1e01backed Over | 68c | 110.21$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 318 | 44%140 W · 178 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked Over | 59c | 77.23$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 58c | 74.47$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…285fbacked Over | 58c | 62.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Under | 68c | 56.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 61c | 43.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…ceafbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 226 | 53.1%120 W · 106 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 52c | 25.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ea…9526backed Over | 59c | 23.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 49c | 23.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles DodgersMilwaukee Brewers won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles DodgersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.