Asian League · resolved market
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb35cbed5026540cf30af261a74cd2033013c230aee15f7f42711833bb9dbbaed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 40c | 8,670$3,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,471.4 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 8,215$4,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,173.99 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 72c | 5,527$3,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,979.61 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 55c | 2,903$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.17 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 29c | 2,496$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.96 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 53c | 1,618$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.04 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 27c | 1,058$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.48 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 35c | 900.43$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.43 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 74c | 720$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.54 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…9fc9backed Under | 28c | 361.15$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…245ebacked Over | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +7.8wins | +0.28per pick | 51cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 72c | 300$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.77 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 28c | 239.61$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.06 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb33…e006backed Over | 72c | 222.22$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Over | 64c | 199.97$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 27c | 193.52$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.27 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 59c | 145.07$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 59c | 140.05$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 27c | 138$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.74 | 169 | 29%49 W · 120 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 28c | 125.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.17 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 66c | 117.89$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.14 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 72c | 110.54$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.59 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Over | 73c | 109.6$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.01 | 43 | 76.7%33 W · 10 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 56c | 104.62$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +15.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea88…261abacked Under | 59c | 80.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 55c | 78.45$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 51c | 73.36$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 18c | 71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c9…ccbabacked Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12c8…20d5backed Over | 72c | 56.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 59c | 38.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33ae…cf9ebacked Over | 40c | 29.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…03acbacked Over | 72c | 28.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…6935backed Under | 63c | 23.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 61c | 22.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed Under | 53c | 19.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 65c | 17.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 1.5this page
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 2.5Under won
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 4.5Under won
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 5.5Under won
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: Yokohama F·Marinos 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Shimizu S-Pulse (-1.5)Yokohama F·Marinos won
- Spread: Shimizu S-Pulse (-2.5)Yokohama F·Marinos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.