Asian League · resolved market
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97125abb27e5aa3aa2c5bc949439427dfd808fea36fbf98d6a63082a388fa2d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Over | 25c | 1,604$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 1,049$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.05 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 77c | 745.45$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.22 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 22c | 622.86$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.03 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 26c | 525.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.76 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 26c | 525.97$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.75 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 6c | 519.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 26c | 275.61$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 169 | 29%49 W · 120 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Over | 9c | 111.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +7.1wins | +0.20per pick | 31cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 78c | 102.3$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 20c | 97.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 74c | 68.27$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 25c | 55.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 25c | 53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8b…37e0backed Under | 75c | 53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 74cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed Over | 22c | 45.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +8.5wins | +0.21per pick | 31cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 74c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b32…3566backed Under | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.8wins | -0.30per pick | 61cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 74c | 19.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +15.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 74c | 17.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 181 | 61.9%112 W · 69 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…b5e5backed Under | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 74c | 16.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3383…e67fbacked Under | 75c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 3.5this page
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 1.5Under won
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 2.5Under won
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 4.5Under won
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 5.5Under won
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: Yokohama F·Marinos 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Shimizu S-Pulse (-1.5)Yokohama F·Marinos won
- Spread: Shimizu S-Pulse (-2.5)Yokohama F·Marinos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.