Asian League · resolved market

Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c15d128db9bd9f28aaec89765447850c9d8382867b10bd2c075e86cd8a039c7

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $58,508
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $58,206

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,508 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Asian League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	53c	23,554$12,582 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,972.03	344	47.4%163 W · 181 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over	22c	9,611$2,114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,114.33	151	19.2%29 W · 122 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	46c	6,253$2,898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,897.86	876	45.1%395 W · 481 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	31c	5,927$1,830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,829.88	2,467	40.3%993 W · 1,474 L	-15.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	46c	3,784$1,758 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,758.36	1,707	50.6%863 W · 844 L	+27.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	37c	2,735$1,009 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,008.99	2,397	37.8%905 W · 1,492 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Over	47c	1,568$737 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$736.96	176	58%102 W · 74 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x851b…961ebacked Over	46c	1,524$701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$701	65	33.8%22 W · 43 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over	46c	1,511$698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$697.99	1,651	50.9%840 W · 811 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Under	54c	1,018$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$468.5	41	65.9%27 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	66cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Over	47c	851.06$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	40	35%14 W · 26 L	-4.0wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over	48c	709.85$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.73	1,101	49.7%547 W · 554 L	+3.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over	46c	661.02$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.83	1,109	46.2%512 W · 597 L	-7.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over	47c	631.46$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.79	261	36.8%96 W · 165 L	-18.0wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over	47c	600$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282	171	47.4%81 W · 90 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	72c	543.12$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.77	1,053	41.9%441 W · 612 L	-13.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over	17c	499.99$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	108	23.1%25 W · 83 L	-7.6wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Over	47c	499.98$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.99	62	46.8%29 W · 33 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Over	47c	400$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188	151	50.3%76 W · 75 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over	47c	398$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.06	285	32.3%92 W · 193 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	54c	341$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.86	825	42.4%350 W · 475 L	+20.0wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	46c	331.13$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.36	735	38.6%284 W · 451 L	+19.3wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Under	62c	330$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.04	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over	46c	318.61$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.56	387	49.6%192 W · 195 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Under	67c	307.33$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.33	78	55.1%43 W · 35 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over	47c	300$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141	357	51%182 W · 175 L	+9.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over	47c	291$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.77	934	46.1%431 W · 503 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed Over	47c	234.04$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd296…084dbacked Under	54c	204.7$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.16	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over	47c	200$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	153	54.9%84 W · 69 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Over	47c	200$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	125	52.8%66 W · 59 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Over	47c	200$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	143	53.8%77 W · 66 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over	48c	190$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.2	165	41.2%68 W · 97 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Under	54c	187.18$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.02	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Over	43c	158.5$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.16	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd875…cd1dbacked Over	46c	156.52$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Over	47c	156$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.32	100	57%57 W · 43 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over	46c	138$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.48	169	29%49 W · 120 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Over	47c	118.5$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.78	201	38.3%77 W · 124 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb904…3ef8backed Over	47c	110$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.7	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+3.7wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under	52c	105.71$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.74	122	50%61 W · 61 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-3.2wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over	47c	96.01$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.13	136	44.9%61 W · 75 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under	52c	95.33$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.33	282	53.5%151 W · 131 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c78…7d67backed Under	54c	74.99$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.6	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-2.9wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under	80c	59.75$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.24	371	53.9%200 W · 171 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under	55c	57.38$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.82	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed Over	45c	54.1$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.34	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under	79c	53.37$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.04	251	55.8%140 W · 111 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed Under	79c	50.63$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.63	82	65.9%54 W · 28 L	-6.7wins	-0.08per pick	74cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Over	47c	49.16$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.11	116	43.1%50 W · 66 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over	46c	48.53$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.32	363	52.9%192 W · 171 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over	46c	45$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.7	98	51%50 W · 48 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fea…f2c9backed Over	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f1…5b7fbacked Over	48c	41.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Over	47c	40$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.8	161	55.9%90 W · 71 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Under	52c	35.22$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.91	98	44.9%44 W · 54 L	-6.1wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-15%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6522…3a5abacked Under	59c	31.96$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.96	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Over	48c	30.69$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.73	87	59.8%52 W · 35 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c22…7b22backed Over	48c	30.57$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.56	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	65cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a85…e543backed Over	47c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.1	49	59.2%29 W · 20 L	+4.1wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x657c…66a3backed Over	47c	29.99$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.09	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b32…3566backed Over	48c	29$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.95	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-4.8wins	-0.30per pick	61cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Under	76c	17.84$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.22	92	65.2%60 W · 32 L	+6.7wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under	79c	12.86$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.7	109	60.6%66 W · 43 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 2.5this page
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 0.5Over won
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 1.5Under won
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 3.5Under won
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 4.5Under won
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 5.5Under won
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: Yokohama F·Marinos 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spread: Shimizu S-Pulse (-1.5)Yokohama F·Marinos won
Spread: Shimizu S-Pulse (-2.5)Yokohama F·Marinos won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event