Lol · resolved market
LoL: GIANTX iTero vs LUA Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbc0b489c45a35f838532c1f714da8600e5764d58cd35ebdd7e609e779fa89eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LUA Gamingof GIANTX iTero, LUA Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed GIANTX iTero | 67c | 8,107$5,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,411.06 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed LUA Gaming | 26c | 3,041$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,260.26 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed GIANTX iTero | 74c | 2,069$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.45 | 608 | 55.8%339 W · 269 L | -14.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed LUA Gaming | 28c | 2,057$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.93 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed LUA Gaming | 27c | 1,500$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.47 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed GIANTX iTero | 3c | 1,294$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 786 | 9.8%77 W · 709 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6455…2604backed LUA Gaming | 52c | 1,186$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574 | 180 | 61.7%111 W · 69 L | +15.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked GIANTX iTero | 73c | 954.44$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.25 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b7…c49bbacked LUA Gaming | 31c | 948.45$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.9 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…254fbacked LUA Gaming | 68c | 835.05$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.21 | 533 | 55%293 W · 240 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5703…1048backed LUA Gaming | 25c | 710.4$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.63 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed GIANTX iTero | 67c | 641.78$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.59 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked LUA Gaming | 26c | 589$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.86 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed LUA Gaming | 58c | 436.63$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.28 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked GIANTX iTero | 74c | 436$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.94 | 668 | 43%287 W · 381 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb039…c6d9backed LUA Gaming | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…2a25backed LUA Gaming | 26c | 349.5$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.63 | 964 | 52.7%508 W · 456 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked LUA Gaming | 47c | 282$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.32 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…6c84backed LUA Gaming | 32c | 276.59$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.15 | 344 | 38.7%133 W · 211 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed LUA Gaming | 50c | 269$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.51 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f8…7fa1backed LUA Gaming | 78c | 256.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 777 | 46.2%359 W · 418 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d21…b3cfbacked LUA Gaming | 23c | 244.82$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.51 | 356 | 59%210 W · 146 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed LUA Gaming | 26c | 233.5$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.79 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed GIANTX iTero | 76c | 232.01$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.96 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed LUA Gaming | 70c | 224.17$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed GIANTX iTero | 30c | 218.35$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.47 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe197…71ebbacked LUA Gaming | 31c | 202.21$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.88 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked GIANTX iTero | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked GIANTX iTero | 74c | 200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…315ebacked LUA Gaming | 26c | 192.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked LUA Gaming | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 178 | 39.3%70 W · 108 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd2…2b8fbacked LUA Gaming | 26c | 184$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.16 | 428 | 51.2%219 W · 209 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…6ad4backed GIANTX iTero | 25c | 159.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 182 | 31.3%57 W · 125 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed GIANTX iTero | 38c | 155.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed LUA Gaming | 27c | 145.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.49 | 244 | 46.3%113 W · 131 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed LUA Gaming | 28c | 138.75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.22 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked LUA Gaming | 35c | 132$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.94 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…4fabbacked GIANTX iTero | 37c | 121.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 338 | 57.7%195 W · 143 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked LUA Gaming | 49c | 120.75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.9 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked GIANTX iTero | 56c | 120$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 1,055 | 39.6%418 W · 637 L | -74.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked LUA Gaming | 49c | 115$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.06 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked LUA Gaming | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 150 | 38.7%58 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked GIANTX iTero | 70c | 103.08$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.26 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4967…4292backed LUA Gaming | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed GIANTX iTero | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.3 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked LUA Gaming | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 228 | 63.2%144 W · 84 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed GIANTX iTero | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.3 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | -21.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked GIANTX iTero | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 448 | 46.2%207 W · 241 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed LUA Gaming | 30c | 95.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 259 | 65.3%169 W · 90 L | +23.1wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed GIANTX iTero | 34c | 87.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 219 | 53%116 W · 103 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked GIANTX iTero | 68c | 86.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.87 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed LUA Gaming | 63c | 85.65$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 634 | 26%165 W · 469 L | -90.0wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -54%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked GIANTX iTero | 41c | 81.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…cba4backed GIANTX iTero | 59c | 80$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 535 | 45.2%242 W · 293 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed GIANTX iTero | 31c | 78.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed GIANTX iTero | 40c | 78.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1b21…1f5cbacked LUA Gaming | 74c | 67.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed LUA Gaming | 69c | 61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked LUA Gaming | 44c | 57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed LUA Gaming | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 220 | 43.6%96 W · 124 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed LUA Gaming | 26c | 54.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 354 | 43.2%153 W · 201 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df3…9ac3backed LUA Gaming | 42c | 49.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 420 | 55%231 W · 189 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20d3…6a53backed LUA Gaming | 30c | 49.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +89%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed GIANTX iTero | 37c | 48.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed GIANTX iTero | 61c | 41.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 525 | 43.8%230 W · 295 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked LUA Gaming | 52c | 34.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…5267backed GIANTX iTero | 71c | 33.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 155 | 71%110 W · 45 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…1bfebacked LUA Gaming | 75c | 32.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 251 | 65.7%165 W · 86 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92a9…0e78backed LUA Gaming | 38c | 30.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 383 | 42.8%164 W · 219 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1f…f2febacked GIANTX iTero | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…476dbacked GIANTX iTero | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 242 | 71.9%174 W · 68 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed GIANTX iTero | 40c | 28.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed GIANTX iTero | 63c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 465 | 62.4%290 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…03acbacked GIANTX iTero | 73c | 22.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…9626backed LUA Gaming | 60c | 20.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: GIANTX iTero vs LUA Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: GXI (-1.5) vs LUA Gaming (+1.5)LUA Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: GIANTX iTero vs LUA Gaming (BO3) - LES Regular SeasonGIANTX iTero won
- LoL: GIANTX iTero vs LUA Gaming - Game 2 WinnerGIANTX iTero won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.