TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: GIANTX iTero vs LUA Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
GIANTX iTeroof GIANTX iTero, LUA Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,190
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,152

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,190 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed LUA Gaming17c1,503$258 inLost-$258.381,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed GIANTX iTero74c1,500$1,108 inWon+$392.222,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbafa…02e0backed LUA Gaming20c975.64$195 inLost-$19580150.7%406 W · 395 L+48.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked LUA Gaming26c516.96$134 inLost-$134.4189050.6%450 W · 440 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked GIANTX iTero79c512.28$407 inWon+$105.122,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc27f…2a25backed LUA Gaming16c489$78 inLost-$78.396452.7%508 W · 456 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdccd…f41abacked LUA Gaming15c467.77$70 inLost-$7017839.3%70 W · 108 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18b7…fff9backed LUA Gaming5c433$23 inLost-$22.9855110.3%57 W · 494 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked LUA Gaming3c412.56$13 inLost-$12.941,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed LUA Gaming22c378.81$84 inLost-$84.062,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed LUA Gaming19c350$67 inLost-$66.51,22549.6%607 W · 618 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed LUA Gaming12c300$36 inLost-$3694237.3%351 W · 591 L+51.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked GIANTX iTero74c221.99$164 inWon+$57.9461143.5%266 W · 345 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed LUA Gaming5c201.3$11 inLost-$10.551,82639.9%728 W · 1,098 L-61.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked LUA Gaming20c194.28$40 inLost-$39.681,89937.1%705 W · 1,194 L-113.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6f8…7fa1backed LUA Gaming30c166.67$50 inLost-$5077746.2%359 W · 418 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed GIANTX iTero74c156.31$116 inWon+$40.641,38545.1%625 W · 760 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked LUA Gaming27c133$36 inLost-$35.791,46443.4%636 W · 828 L-32.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked LUA Gaming22c131.37$28 inLost-$28.271,92242.2%811 W · 1,111 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked LUA Gaming16c125$20 inLost-$201,44343.4%626 W · 817 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfc1d…9332backed LUA Gaming12c122.33$15 inLost-$154045%18 W · 22 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed GIANTX iTero68c111$75 inWon+$35.5217347.4%82 W · 91 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed GIANTX iTero69c102.16$71 inWon+$31.271,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed GIANTX iTero74c88.38$65 inWon+$22.981,31049.2%644 W · 666 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed LUA Gaming26c76.92$20 inLost-$2024446.3%113 W · 131 L-0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df3…9ac3backed GIANTX iTero75c71.1$53 inWon+$17.7342055%231 W · 189 L+22.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee9c…c449backed LUA Gaming16c65.13$10 inLost-$10.4252743.5%229 W · 298 L+32.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ba8…cd40backed LUA Gaming16c62.5$10 inLost-$104226.2%11 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked GIANTX iTero74c46.89$35 inWon+$12.1944745.2%202 W · 245 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbd2…2b8fbacked GIANTX iTero72c43.05$31 inWon+$12.0542851.2%219 W · 209 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b39…8b50backed LUA Gaming31c42.16$13 inLost-$1344850.7%227 W · 221 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed GIANTX iTero69c40$28 inWon+$12.41,39943.7%612 W · 787 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed GIANTX iTero74c36.46$27 inWon+$9.4823842.9%102 W · 136 L-21.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed GIANTX iTero71c32.94$23 inWon+$9.5160855.8%339 W · 269 L-14.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10d7…bbf6backed GIANTX iTero79c15$12 inWon+$3.152176.2%16 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.