TailMyPicks

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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nuclear TigeRESof Nuclear TigeRES, CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,402
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,499

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,402 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc0f1…8680backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects16c4,615$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.682,52043%1,084 W · 1,436 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Nuclear TigeRES63c3,307$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.1563057.1%360 W · 270 L+40.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects25c2,550$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.956,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Nuclear TigeRES67c1,957$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.335,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedcc…41a1backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects56c1,800$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.4521953.4%117 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Nuclear TigeRES47c1,361$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.9944657.2%255 W · 191 L-20.6wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-5.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects7c1,184$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.142,46724.6%606 W · 1,861 L-318.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nuclear TigeRES65c1,077$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.673,25650.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L+97.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0e6…23c2backed Nuclear TigeRES74c999.99$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2655563.6%35 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects39c828.82$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.123,16545.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L-74.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects51c741.42$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.0667645%304 W · 372 L-24.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe40e…9770backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects29c603.97$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.1517951.4%92 W · 87 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects37c523.68$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.4851842.3%219 W · 299 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Nuclear TigeRES68c411.19$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.6168453.8%368 W · 316 L-22.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects72c403.63$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.4736440.1%146 W · 218 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects50c380$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.785,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1407…e56cbacked Nuclear TigeRES28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.142532%8 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcecf…e84fbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005827.6%16 W · 42 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-31.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9991245.8%418 W · 494 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Nuclear TigeRES60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.85463%34 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects38c284.19$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.971739.6%284 W · 433 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects33c261$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1347836.8%176 W · 302 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6a0…2212backed Nuclear TigeRES30c260$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.234547.5%164 W · 181 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x083f…5c9cbacked Nuclear TigeRES74c256.65$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.732441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects24c237.39$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.483,41529.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L-275.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects35c214.39$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.074,66143.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba23…cd7ebacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects39c190$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7915455.2%85 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects33c180$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.560451%308 W · 296 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects33c148.86$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.122,59947.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L-30.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects34c147.07$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6854339.4%214 W · 329 L-21.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed Nuclear TigeRES54c146.81$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.261,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects34c146.14$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4935148.1%169 W · 182 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Nuclear TigeRES31c137$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.292,34346.7%1,094 W · 1,249 L-49.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd68d…1f62backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects30c110$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3325446.1%117 W · 137 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfdd…e70ebacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3213836.2%50 W · 88 L-11.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects54c97$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.569042.2%38 W · 52 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Nuclear TigeRES72c95.64$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.762,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Nuclear TigeRES54c94.76$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.971,36066.3%901 W · 459 L+75.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Nuclear TigeRES63c90.05$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.525,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e47…bdbfbacked Nuclear TigeRES59c84.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7438269.4%265 W · 117 L+30.8wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d19…e27cbacked Nuclear TigeRES59c82$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.588058.8%47 W · 33 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5181…504bbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects14c74.32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.13953.8%21 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Nuclear TigeRES53c72.79$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.441,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects33c72.49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242,08447%979 W · 1,105 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Nuclear TigeRES71c65.44$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.031,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f5…5e63backed Nuclear TigeRES16c64.48$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.985125.5%13 W · 38 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick18cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x203a…935fbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects64c62.94$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4027954.5%152 W · 127 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb5…2d03backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects32c59.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.098240.2%33 W · 49 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x50dc…16b2backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects27c58.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1572153.7%387 W · 334 L+28.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d51…71a5backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151816.7%3 W · 15 L-4.8wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-74.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3bdf…30c1backed Nuclear TigeRES50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x282b…cc76backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.58454.8%46 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects34c49.71$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6976646.1%353 W · 413 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects33c47.01$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.641,82847.6%871 W · 957 L-54.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects25c43.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.631,64332.8%539 W · 1,104 L-48.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df0…95b3backed Nuclear TigeRES68c38.54$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5313770.8%97 W · 40 L+15.3wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+17.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Nuclear TigeRES68c36.91$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.654,89737.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L-245.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed Nuclear TigeRES51c36.45$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9966072.4%478 W · 182 L+117.6wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Nuclear TigeRES64c34.34$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.491,03454.9%568 W · 466 L-2.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe49f…03acbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects33c34$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.22966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cf1…d7febacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects35c31.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9223235.3%82 W · 150 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe53b…fe03backed Nuclear TigeRES64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2540971.9%294 W · 115 L+23.6wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cb5…819abacked Nuclear TigeRES44c30.75$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2811149.5%55 W · 56 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb16c…4ceabacked Nuclear TigeRES70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5715756.1%88 W · 69 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d79…9e95backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects41c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2516349.1%80 W · 83 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39f6…c6efbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects62c24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8818939.2%74 W · 115 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd30…9a01backed Nuclear TigeRES54c22.22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2228561.1%174 W · 111 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects71c21.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511960.5%72 W · 47 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e5a…d118backed Nuclear TigeRES75c20.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.064486.4%38 W · 6 L+7.4wins+0.17per pick70cpaid+24.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa64f…bcf8backed Nuclear TigeRES71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.82962.1%18 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7e5…cc65backed Nuclear TigeRES69c19.35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0322346.2%103 W · 120 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1493…51d6backed Nuclear TigeRES64c17.56$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.323100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3df0…267cbacked Nuclear TigeRES69c15.15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.