CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: NTR (-1.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x379c254ded0d432350c5b4378a03f938e1f0626bfee3820c7399aaac4e3cb5d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuclear TigeRESof Nuclear TigeRES, CYBERSHOKE Prospects
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 47c | 643.39$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.79 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…e868backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 51c | 292.08$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 49c | 222.85$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.38 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…3480backed Nuclear TigeRES | 53c | 188.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.77 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ca…bc47backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 53c | 186.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…d1acbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 48c | 182.24$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.84 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 45c | 165.54$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.27 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f6…d13ebacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 55c | 165.11$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…fa33backed Nuclear TigeRES | 53c | 161.75$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.75 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009c…049bbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b87…dffdbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 53c | 136.97$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Nuclear TigeRES | 47c | 136.97$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.59 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7955…ce08backed Nuclear TigeRES | 55c | 136.55$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.55 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 53c | 134.95$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.52 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 52c | 132.6$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.91 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 50c | 115.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 52c | 62.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…cc4ebacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 48c | 58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1c…6b60backed Nuclear TigeRES | 52c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 55c | 54.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 239 | 63.2%151 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 49c | 47.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | -13.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 48c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Nuclear TigeRES | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NTR (-1.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsNuclear TigeRES won
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 1 WinnerNuclear TigeRES won
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 2 WinnerNuclear TigeRES won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.