CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63aa19d4dc57c4a4ce1d7dfce197209fbc7bffc5a90537305306694773615990
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fire Flux Esportsof BASEMENT BOYS, Fire Flux Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Fire Flux Esports | 47c | 4,968$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,628.15 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a90…7e68backed BASEMENT BOYS | 53c | 2,135$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.83 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed BASEMENT BOYS | 52c | 1,841$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.89 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Fire Flux Esports | 46c | 1,797$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.59 | 1,652 | 52.9%874 W · 778 L | +60.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Fire Flux Esports | 47c | 1,596$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.74 | 610 | 55.9%341 W · 269 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Fire Flux Esports | 47c | 1,278$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.34 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 53c | 1,085$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.4 | 1,167 | 48.2%562 W · 605 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7290…bdf6backed BASEMENT BOYS | 53c | 910.97$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.81 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BASEMENT BOYS | 54c | 880.25$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.44 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed BASEMENT BOYS | 53c | 680$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.6 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Fire Flux Esports | 48c | 654.3$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.99 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Fire Flux Esports | 30c | 648.9$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.26 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Fire Flux Esports | 47c | 612.02$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.73 | 476 | 55%262 W · 214 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 51c | 578$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.46 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 54c | 437$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.98 | 284 | 40.5%115 W · 169 L | -17.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…c5bebacked BASEMENT BOYS | 54c | 428.59$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 52c | 425.49$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.55 | 769 | 33.8%260 W · 509 L | -48.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fire Flux Esports | 65c | 388.92$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.26 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…8118backed BASEMENT BOYS | 54c | 360.04$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.6 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -29%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed BASEMENT BOYS | 55c | 345.37$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.95 | 562 | 39.5%222 W · 340 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed BASEMENT BOYS | 52c | 314.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.79 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked BASEMENT BOYS | 55c | 298.32$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.08 | 921 | 45.8%422 W · 499 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 42c | 295.06$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.68 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1efb…dd8abacked BASEMENT BOYS | 52c | 228.83$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.99 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde57…666fbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 52c | 226.8$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.94 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63ef…7d38backed BASEMENT BOYS | 54c | 220.41$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.77 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Fire Flux Esports | 46c | 219.16$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.35 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 45c | 206.16$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.81 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed BASEMENT BOYS | 67c | 200$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.5 | 1,594 | 29.7%473 W · 1,121 L | -88.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…2d03backed BASEMENT BOYS | 53c | 194.88$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.29 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed BASEMENT BOYS | 36c | 176.32$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.1 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Fire Flux Esports | 48c | 161.89$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.2 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 54c | 144.44$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 547 | 43.7%239 W · 308 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked BASEMENT BOYS | 60c | 139.91$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.75 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked BASEMENT BOYS | 53c | 129.95$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.37 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed BASEMENT BOYS | 33c | 129.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 624 | 48.2%301 W · 323 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…ecc5backed BASEMENT BOYS | 54c | 108.35$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed BASEMENT BOYS | 53c | 107.17$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed BASEMENT BOYS | 35c | 105$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Fire Flux Esports | 65c | 103$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed BASEMENT BOYS | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 687 | 49.6%341 W · 346 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed BASEMENT BOYS | 33c | 93.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed BASEMENT BOYS | 52c | 90.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 294 | 47.3%139 W · 155 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Fire Flux Esports | 70c | 90$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Fire Flux Esports | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 848 | 56%475 W · 373 L | +31.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…d746backed BASEMENT BOYS | 59c | 84.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9135…8d9cbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 51c | 82.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Fire Flux Esports | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed BASEMENT BOYS | 53c | 68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 211 | 56.9%120 W · 91 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…03acbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 55c | 64.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e5…4318backed BASEMENT BOYS | 31c | 64.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed BASEMENT BOYS | 56c | 60.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed Fire Flux Esports | 48c | 53.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 148 | 39.9%59 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Fire Flux Esports | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed BASEMENT BOYS | 52c | 49.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Fire Flux Esports | 45c | 43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Fire Flux Esports | 48c | 42.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Fire Flux Esports | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed BASEMENT BOYS | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed BASEMENT BOYS | 56c | 35.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 231 | 50.2%116 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Fire Flux Esports | 71c | 35.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Fire Flux Esports | 43c | 34.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 513 | 52%267 W · 246 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…ffc2backed BASEMENT BOYS | 52c | 28.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Fire Flux Esports | 49c | 26.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Fire Flux Esports | 64c | 26.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 59c | 25.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Fire Flux Esports | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 403 | 41.7%168 W · 235 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed BASEMENT BOYS | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 103 | 55.3%57 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…c338backed Fire Flux Esports | 54c | 18.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fire Flux Esports | 59c | 17.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 WinnerFire Flux Esports won
- Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 WinnerFire Flux Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.