CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26b4fd8e5e86ac97bca3f29698de04259ff4c54a2d9b9153117d65923c96f02b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fire Flux Esportsof BASEMENT BOYS, Fire Flux Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Fire Flux Esports | 50c | 2,137$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.72 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ca…bc47backed BASEMENT BOYS | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed BASEMENT BOYS | 50c | 333.8$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.9 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e84fbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 51c | 325.13$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed BASEMENT BOYS | 35c | 277.47$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.16 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed BASEMENT BOYS | 50c | 242.2$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.1 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed BASEMENT BOYS | 51c | 235.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.52 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 18c | 202.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked BASEMENT BOYS | 51c | 199.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.02 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Fire Flux Esports | 51c | 199.76$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.3 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Fire Flux Esports | 52c | 144.43$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Fire Flux Esports | 57c | 125.34$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.37 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed BASEMENT BOYS | 52c | 125$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fire Flux Esports | 54c | 118.45$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.41 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed BASEMENT BOYS | 29c | 96.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 52c | 73.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Fire Flux Esports | 37c | 71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed Fire Flux Esports | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked BASEMENT BOYS | 49c | 52.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 28c | 44.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Fire Flux Esports | 78c | 44.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 190 | 50%95 W · 95 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed BASEMENT BOYS | 51c | 37.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 55c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed BASEMENT BOYS | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 292 | 46.9%137 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed BASEMENT BOYS | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…8118backed BASEMENT BOYS | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Fire Flux Esports | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Group AFire Flux Esports won
- Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 WinnerFire Flux Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.