TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-08-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,797
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,458

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,797 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2e78…067ebacked No30c8,076$2,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,415.183545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes75c6,333$4,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.2820036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked Yes38c6,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,719.941643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked No18c5,407$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.216412.5%8 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-70%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No38c5,217$1,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,985.65,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No24c4,832$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.6512434.7%43 W · 81 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes74c4,697$3,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.521,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes54c4,635$2,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,111.2340442.1%170 W · 234 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes38c4,116$1,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,539.3831136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No62c3,694$2,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,290.2819841.9%83 W · 115 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed No64c3,496$2,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,237.5338233%126 W · 256 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60cb…3d72backed No63c2,999$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,889.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked No26c2,542$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.810933%36 W · 73 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Yes77c2,331$1,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.8412646%58 W · 68 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No3c2,290$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.071,29643%557 W · 739 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No60c2,270$1,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,353.852,51939%982 W · 1,537 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed No23c2,133$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.446232.3%20 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed No25c1,811$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.737723.4%18 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked No25c1,772$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.9712738.6%49 W · 78 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes63c1,584$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.4575240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked No14c1,519$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21511428.1%32 W · 82 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes60c1,282$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.542,28734.3%784 W · 1,503 L-30.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No4c1,263$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.971,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa15e…b828backed Yes74c1,107$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.621650%8 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed01…83a8backed No1c1,107$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.072536%9 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-45.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No4c1,084$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.378,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6401,67051.8%865 W · 805 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a83…920dbacked Yes76c921.42$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.656251.6%32 W · 30 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed No26c908.81$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.8129138.1%111 W · 180 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1bf…b8e1backed No25c784.61$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005841.4%24 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd59…da8ebacked No29c783.23$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.143447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed No65c768.95$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.822347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x31ac…8b4cbacked No28c703.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007248.6%35 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes74c655$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.330847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed No3c583.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6715625.6%40 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes37c582.17$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.621,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed No25c560$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010649.1%52 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed No4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes71c438.91$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.6516864.9%109 W · 59 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes75c416.06$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.971,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed No61c401$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.6113053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Yes72c382.53$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3821938.8%85 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes35c376.89$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.211,94551.3%998 W · 947 L+40.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed No26c350.06$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.028660.5%52 W · 34 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No63c302.33$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.4767337.1%250 W · 423 L+0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed No31c295.28$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6713748.9%67 W · 70 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes76c293$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.321,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes37c284.47$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.83,40751.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7245…4b00backed No26c279.17$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.334542.2%19 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes37c259.4$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.1855946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Yes77c258.07$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3617251.2%88 W · 84 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked Yes50c255.79$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.94847.9%23 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed No16c245$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.24148.8%20 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes74c227.54$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4289846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes78c210.35$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.951,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f8c…f8bdbacked Yes71c208.03$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.16837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8d2…a2fdbacked Yes39c206.98$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed No54c203.03$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.648863.6%56 W · 32 L+9.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No63c198$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.741,65550.6%838 W · 817 L-4.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No63c198$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.742,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Yes37c183.11$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.995154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43ed…6232backed Yes76c179$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.355532.7%18 W · 37 L-7.5wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes36c162.52$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.1478856.3%444 W · 344 L+23.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf7…c485backed No62c151.76$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes36c150.74$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.4718050%90 W · 90 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked Yes72c133.09$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.687651.3%39 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3491…0242backed No26c127.37$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.123650%18 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes35c122.86$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.8619543.1%84 W · 111 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes76c119.92$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.189645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes37c119.74$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.581,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked No62c115.66$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.716349.2%31 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No27c104.96$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3445946.8%215 W · 244 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0524535.5%87 W · 158 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd924…7bc2backed Yes37c94.59$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5910044%44 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes75c90.69$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8532139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Yes80c87.19$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.446040%24 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05b2…953bbacked Yes74c86$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.362450%12 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+24.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcaea…5795backed No30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254228.6%12 W · 30 L-6.8wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-50.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x453d…2dbabacked Yes36c78.03$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.092119%4 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-51.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd82f…aba0backed Yes38c68.42$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.421973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.24per pick50cpaid+49.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed No60c65.16$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.114149.6%70 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd682…2c16backed No30c64.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.351435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-47.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No21c60$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3642946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe432…934abacked Yes74c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.62937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked No52c56.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5413856.5%78 W · 60 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Yes43c55.7$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.589632.3%31 W · 65 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes73c55.5$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.731,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No22c55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9267548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes38c52.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3134155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes36c52$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.281,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x607d…a8f6backed Yes77c51.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.951361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04e5…10dcbacked Yes40c51.65$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.99955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick33cpaid+75.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xccad…46ecbacked No62c51.6$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.991866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe850…f826backed Yes72c51.55$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5be1…3371backed No34c47.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167160.6%43 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed No30c43.4$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.27542.7%32 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Yes35c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2614359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac69…3c46backed Yes64c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.44852.1%25 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Yes37c37.43$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5823453%124 W · 110 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes77c37$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5118359%108 W · 75 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.