CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe771bcb92de78dca7b25966787bd268a22b68d73a4cfe0eab35cf106599aae76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Just Playersof ARCRED, Just Players
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked ARCRED | 60c | 19,550$11,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,661.36 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed ARCRED | 59c | 6,529$3,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,851.96 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed ARCRED | 57c | 6,500$3,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,704.99 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…80dfbacked Just Players | 41c | 4,844$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,857.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…694fbacked Just Players | 42c | 4,688$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,712.79 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Just Players | 40c | 3,894$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,337.07 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…34fbbacked Just Players | 40c | 3,136$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.6 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked ARCRED | 63c | 2,692$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.94 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fec…728ebacked ARCRED | 75c | 2,494$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Just Players | 32c | 2,324$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.13 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed ARCRED | 56c | 2,200$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.97 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Just Players | 44c | 2,161$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.58 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked ARCRED | 39c | 2,125$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.55 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed ARCRED | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 294 | 49.3%145 W · 149 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Just Players | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6129…0807backed Just Players | 43c | 1,850$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Just Players | 39c | 1,738$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.21 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6e…428ebacked Just Players | 38c | 1,679$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed ARCRED | 50c | 1,260$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.85 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Just Players | 41c | 1,201$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.61 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed ARCRED | 67c | 1,193$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.49 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced1…280ebacked Just Players | 42c | 1,146$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.68 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc700…31a1backed Just Players | 43c | 1,080$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.6 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked ARCRED | 60c | 1,034$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.4 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Just Players | 40c | 1,026$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.38 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Just Players | 54c | 1,002$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.33 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Just Players | 49c | 990.21$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.25 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed Just Players | 41c | 973$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.4 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed ARCRED | 44c | 954.66$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.38 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf1…3018backed Just Players | 38c | 899.93$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.95 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Just Players | 75c | 861.53$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.69 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41d1…bac0backed Just Players | 30c | 825.64$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.64 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Just Players | 40c | 798.5$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.81 | 279 | 40.5%113 W · 166 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Just Players | 40c | 670$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…fc9bbacked Just Players | 41c | 639.56$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.27 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…9dfcbacked ARCRED | 56c | 628.86$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Just Players | 43c | 579.66$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.66 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4e…5c01backed Just Players | 41c | 567.6$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Just Players | 43c | 545$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.65 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Just Players | 40c | 506.41$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.31 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…42dcbacked Just Players | 25c | 505.88$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.98 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Just Players | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Just Players | 25c | 499.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.99 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed ARCRED | 60c | 464.05$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.43 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Just Players | 46c | 460.07$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.83 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed Just Players | 39c | 429.65$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.09 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Just Players | 61c | 427.57$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.75 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Just Players | 33c | 417.82$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.31 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed ARCRED | 61c | 400$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Just Players | 50c | 399$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.78 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed ARCRED | 56c | 391.72$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.83 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Just Players | 42c | 388.42$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.28 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked ARCRED | 61c | 374.53$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.17 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked Just Players | 35c | 368.64$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.64 | 277 | 40.8%113 W · 164 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Just Players | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.85 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…2d03backed Just Players | 43c | 355.3$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.52 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed Just Players | 50c | 354.45$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.42 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed ARCRED | 61c | 351.39$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.34 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Just Players | 40c | 343.61$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.62 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…61fdbacked Just Players | 40c | 337.38$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.8 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec2…82babacked Just Players | 63c | 335.94$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.3 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Just Players | 61c | 333.99$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.52 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Just Players | 44c | 325.72$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.72 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Just Players | 42c | 323.81$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.81 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Just Players | 60c | 311$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.07 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed Just Players | 45c | 310$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.5 | 380 | 52.6%200 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…00aabacked Just Players | 41c | 304.9$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.89 | 171 | 42.1%72 W · 99 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Just Players | 41c | 300$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.5 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed ARCRED | 61c | 299.95$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.97 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…a142backed Just Players | 50c | 299.6$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.8 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Just Players | 58c | 280.92$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.99 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed ARCRED | 53c | 279.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.4 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…9622backed ARCRED | 61c | 274$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.18 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Just Players | 41c | 260.76$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.24 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked Just Players | 43c | 259.01$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.61 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -15.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked ARCRED | 61c | 258.39$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.54 | 422 | 55.7%235 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed ARCRED | 58c | 257.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.64 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Just Players | 23c | 235.97$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.52 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Just Players | 57c | 230.92$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.16 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Just Players | 33c | 230.07$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.14 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed ARCRED | 22c | 226.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked ARCRED | 43c | 218.43$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 314 | 40.1%126 W · 188 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Just Players | 60c | 215$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.74 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Just Players | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed ARCRED | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…cc4ebacked Just Players | 43c | 192.54$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Just Players | 40c | 188$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc02…d6c5backed Just Players | 37c | 180.14$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.49 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked ARCRED | 78c | 176.32$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.68 | 397 | 72.5%288 W · 109 L | +38.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Just Players | 66c | 171.33$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…9ee3backed Just Players | 47c | 171.16$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.04 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Just Players | 48c | 167.25$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.65 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Just Players | 40c | 166.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.19 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Just Players | 54c | 166.89$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.69 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked ARCRED | 60c | 166.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46e4…c6dabacked Just Players | 61c | 158.41$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed ARCRED | 31c | 156.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Just Players | 28c | 150.59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.05 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…8930backed ARCRED | 67c | 149.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x304f…af95backed Just Players | 47c | 145.53$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.53 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Just Players - Map 1 WinnerARCRED won
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Just Players - Map 2 WinnerJust Players won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.