CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs INOX Division (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9773e9e7cf03e6156c03f6cf5ed0affa177210e73f0f9761859c85a2ac0527d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lavkedof Lavked, INOX Division
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,727
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,727 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked INOX Division | 72c | 2,300$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.97 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Lavked | 22c | 797.31$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.34 | 199 | 53.8%107 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Lavked | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Lavked | 17c | 443.17$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.17 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Lavked | 59c | 371.97$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.6 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…5ad0backed Lavked | 15c | 335.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.92 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked INOX Division | 47c | 294.77$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.3 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6c…33f0backed Lavked | 23c | 220.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.9 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked INOX Division | 74c | 216.34$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.38 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Lavked | 22c | 204.09$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.79 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb621…707fbacked INOX Division | 62c | 189.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.4 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b94…9c0dbacked Lavked | 27c | 185.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.48 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed INOX Division | 80c | 182.8$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.05 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Lavked | 25c | 169.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.92 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed Lavked | 30c | 165.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.45 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lavked | 38c | 156.39$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.39 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Lavked | 37c | 155.54$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.54 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Lavked | 21c | 153.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.4 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…5e34backed Lavked | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed Lavked | 25c | 119$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.59 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked INOX Division | 68c | 110.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf1…3018backed Lavked | 34c | 110$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd68…0f6bbacked Lavked | 30c | 104.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed Lavked | 34c | 72.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 218 | 45.9%100 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…7a59backed Lavked | 29c | 69.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.86 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…b4e9backed INOX Division | 71c | 64.89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.34 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa108…573ebacked Lavked | 42c | 61.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed INOX Division | 78c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…95b3backed INOX Division | 63c | 41.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 138 | 71%98 W · 40 L | +15.7wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed INOX Division | 73c | 41.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…5b83backed INOX Division | 52c | 39.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Lavked | 28c | 35.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 235 | 26.4%62 W · 173 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked INOX Division | 56c | 26.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked INOX Division | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 81.5%150 W · 34 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed INOX Division | 63c | 23.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 287 | 61.3%176 W · 111 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…4737backed INOX Division | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 121 | 76%92 W · 29 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed INOX Division | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ad…6b2fbacked INOX Division | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -9.5wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…f74cbacked INOX Division | 74c | 19.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -15.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed INOX Division | 55c | 18.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked INOX Division | 64c | 17.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs INOX Division (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs INOX Division - Map 2 WinnerLavked won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.