CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ALKA vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89cf3f4de8476dc2fec257d28784ca72f4b5115de3f06216125ef09fd4ff7bda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ALKAof ALKA, QUINTESSÊNCIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked QUINTESSÊNCIA | 41c | 3,265$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.56 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed ALKA | 63c | 2,001$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.15 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked QUINTESSÊNCIA | 41c | 1,463$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.23 | 1,768 | 59.2%1,047 W · 721 L | +105.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked ALKA | 59c | 953.91$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.76 | 751 | 45.4%341 W · 410 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed ALKA | 58c | 700$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 482 | 51.7%249 W · 233 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…764ebacked ALKA | 54c | 556.2$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.2 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 27c | 521.73$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed ALKA | 69c | 480.06$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.23 | 343 | 56.6%194 W · 149 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 32c | 465$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.7 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed ALKA | 68c | 420$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed ALKA | 74c | 405.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.54 | 260 | 75%195 W · 65 L | +23.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d25…1c06backed ALKA | 67c | 361.82$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.2 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked QUINTESSÊNCIA | 26c | 342$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.61 | 373 | 22.3%83 W · 290 L | -42.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked QUINTESSÊNCIA | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3a…5998backed ALKA | 73c | 246.25$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.7 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked QUINTESSÊNCIA | 30c | 189.95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.81 | 1,038 | 57.4%596 W · 442 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed ALKA | 69c | 160.03$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 510 | 55.9%285 W · 225 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked QUINTESSÊNCIA | 25c | 153.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 30c | 141.19$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked ALKA | 64c | 125.98$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 382 | 69.4%265 W · 117 L | +30.8wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ALKA | 73c | 122$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked ALKA | 74c | 110.88$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 1,318 | 51.7%682 W · 636 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed ALKA | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,017 | 53.4%543 W · 474 L | +65.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed ALKA | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 569 | 41.3%235 W · 334 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed ALKA | 65c | 98.87$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed ALKA | 56c | 72.45$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 402 | 66.2%266 W · 136 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…ae14backed ALKA | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 30c | 66.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 349 | 41.5%145 W · 204 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed ALKA | 64c | 65.48$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 27c | 62.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 543 | 39.4%214 W · 329 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…5b83backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ALKA | 70c | 57.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08e…1256backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 49c | 55.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd122…5d93backed ALKA | 67c | 53.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1431…94d0backed ALKA | 73c | 52.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef30…e949backed ALKA | 63c | 47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed ALKA | 68c | 43.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 409 | 71.9%294 W · 115 L | +23.6wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked QUINTESSÊNCIA | 24c | 43.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 721 | 53.7%387 W · 334 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21e0…645bbacked ALKA | 64c | 39.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…76b5backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 41c | 38.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 32c | 33.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 789 | 52%410 W · 379 L | +26.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked ALKA | 61c | 32.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84a7…3cfebacked QUINTESSÊNCIA | 47c | 31.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ALKA | 70c | 28.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed ALKA | 61c | 25.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed ALKA | 58c | 25.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 285 | 61.1%174 W · 111 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed ALKA | 66c | 23.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 607 | 53.9%327 W · 280 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked ALKA | 80c | 22.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 1,034 | 54.9%568 W · 466 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…4737backed ALKA | 67c | 20.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 113 | 75.2%85 W · 28 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cab…73abbacked ALKA | 75c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ALKA vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: ALKA vs QUINTESSÊNCIA - Map 1 WinnerQUINTESSÊNCIA won
- Counter-Strike: ALKA vs QUINTESSÊNCIA - Map 2 WinnerALKA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.