Tennis · resolved market
Kingston: Liam Draxl vs Andres Andrade
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9fa74367eafa4d64a38d39defe955921fdf6a121bd8bcab29a1eb6520ba4b5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andres Andradeof Liam Draxl, Andres Andrade
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Liam Draxl | 4c | 3,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 477 | 28.1%134 W · 343 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Liam Draxl | 25c | 1,772$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 302 | 35.4%107 W · 195 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea6…0890backed Liam Draxl | 13c | 1,097$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.94 | 77 | 24.7%19 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Andres Andrade | 74c | 985.37$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.66 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Andres Andrade | 66c | 757.5$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.55 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Andres Andrade | 70c | 714.05$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.3 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Liam Draxl | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…2e6bbacked Liam Draxl | 41c | 641.68$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Andres Andrade | 72c | 520.43$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.89 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Liam Draxl | 27c | 478.4$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.91 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Liam Draxl | 42c | 436.51$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.49 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…e38bbacked Andres Andrade | 72c | 429$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.12 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Andres Andrade | 60c | 405.52$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.65 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Liam Draxl | 61c | 399.81$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.46 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Andres Andrade | 35c | 392.2$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.43 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Liam Draxl | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Andres Andrade | 73c | 213.45$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.55 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Liam Draxl | 29c | 204.68$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.93 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Liam Draxl | 29c | 185.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.91 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Liam Draxl | 68c | 184$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.12 | 370 | 58.4%216 W · 154 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Liam Draxl | 39c | 160.71$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.68 | 369 | 46.9%173 W · 196 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Liam Draxl | 68c | 148.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Liam Draxl | 22c | 141.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…f972backed Andres Andrade | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2516…51edbacked Andres Andrade | 78c | 124.97$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 153 | 74.5%114 W · 39 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Andres Andrade | 34c | 116$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.34 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Andres Andrade | 33c | 102.91$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.95 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Andres Andrade | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36cf…d3aebacked Andres Andrade | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 449 | 46.1%207 W · 242 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Andres Andrade | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…3860backed Liam Draxl | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 242 | 31%75 W · 167 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed Liam Draxl | 67c | 82.09$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Andres Andrade | 55c | 81.73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Liam Draxl | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Liam Draxl | 24c | 75.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf236…2e36backed Liam Draxl | 36c | 75.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Andres Andrade | 67c | 73.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 80 | 72.5%58 W · 22 L | +10.2wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Andres Andrade | 70c | 71.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…3798backed Andres Andrade | 34c | 69.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.79 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d1…73edbacked Andres Andrade | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c7…d291backed Liam Draxl | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Andres Andrade | 33c | 65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Andres Andrade | 76c | 61.41$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Liam Draxl | 64c | 53.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Liam Draxl | 39c | 53.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 337 | 54%182 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…3ccebacked Liam Draxl | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Andres Andrade | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed Liam Draxl | 26c | 48.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Liam Draxl | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 302 | 68.9%208 W · 94 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Andres Andrade | 64c | 45.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Andres Andrade | 71c | 44.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 348 | 64.1%223 W · 125 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Liam Draxl | 55c | 43.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…0a19backed Liam Draxl | 49c | 41.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Liam Draxl | 26c | 39.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Andres Andrade | 69c | 34.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Andres Andrade | 63c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Liam Draxl | 66c | 30.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Liam Draxl | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…a393backed Andres Andrade | 72c | 23.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Liam Draxl | 52c | 20.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…a2adbacked Andres Andrade | 71c | 15.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Andres Andrade | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Andres Andrade | 76c | 14.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.49 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kingston: Liam Draxl vs Andres Andradethis page
- Kingston: Completed Match: Liam Draxl vs Andres AndradeYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.