MLB · resolved market
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce67b495c754cd29548e0381d18e9b4701446fa9e32c29d7eec3e7e72ad55152
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof San Diego Padres, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Colorado Rockies | 61c | 16,473$10,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,047.3 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Diego Padres | 40c | 15,450$6,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,271.87 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c72…7e7ebacked San Diego Padres | 39c | 8,250$3,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,032.5 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies | 59c | 8,036$4,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,767.26 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Colorado Rockies | 36c | 7,140$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560.13 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres | 64c | 5,332$3,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.73 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Colorado Rockies | 57c | 3,463$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.51 | 208 | 45.2%94 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Diego Padres | 67c | 3,204$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.72 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres | 39c | 1,269$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.19 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed San Diego Padres | 39c | 806.82$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.16 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Colorado Rockies | 50c | 726.35$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.88 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Colorado Rockies | 29c | 710.68$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.71 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed San Diego Padres | 72c | 605.37$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.63 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 550$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.5 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9a…0bf3backed Colorado Rockies | 59c | 534.13$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.14 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Colorado Rockies | 32c | 486.69$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.74 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 474$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.16 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Colorado Rockies | 20c | 381.23$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.59 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked San Diego Padres | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 321 | 66.4%213 W · 108 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 370.53$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.03 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Colorado Rockies | 59c | 367.5$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.51 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked San Diego Padres | 40c | 363$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.8 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 336.32$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.37 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Colorado Rockies | 46c | 281.36$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.59 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked San Diego Padres | 42c | 268.45$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.7 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 268.45$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.7 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Colorado Rockies | 60c | 249$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed San Diego Padres | 66c | 242.79$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.48 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed San Diego Padres | 66c | 242.77$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.48 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Diego Padres | 78c | 242.3$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Colorado Rockies | 23c | 213.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked San Diego Padres | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 193.18$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.18 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Colorado Rockies | 57c | 192.65$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.81 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Colorado Rockies | 59c | 187$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.51 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked San Diego Padres | 34c | 156.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.26 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed San Diego Padres | 67c | 147.34$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…5976backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 121.57$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 102.38$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.38 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Colorado Rockies | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Colorado Rockies | 60c | 99.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Colorado Rockies | 18c | 91.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 88.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Colorado Rockies | 61c | 66.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed San Diego Padres | 62c | 66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed San Diego Padres | 77c | 64.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 60.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked San Diego Padres | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08cd…f35fbacked Colorado Rockies | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked San Diego Padres | 76c | 55.8$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9de…47ffbacked San Diego Padres | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 48.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f1…3b8ebacked San Diego Padres | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7774…2b2cbacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Colorado Rockies | 58c | 37.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0617…08d9backed Colorado Rockies | 27c | 37.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 36.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…e253backed San Diego Padres | 62c | 33.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…bebbbacked San Diego Padres | 74c | 26.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed San Diego Padres | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 22.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked San Diego Padres | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1d…f2dfbacked San Diego Padres | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed San Diego Padres | 66c | 19.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Colorado Rockies | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego PadresSan Diego Padres won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 4.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego PadresNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.