Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7dd7d0c4bf04fcc55c90404782cd361c37165e19338b67a68ce15b8b86ebc6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 28c | 1,099$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.9 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 37c | 473.95$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.64 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…4f51backed Yes | 21c | 428.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.94 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 62c | 422$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.14 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 28c | 388.12$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.12 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 32c | 339.02$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.2 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 15c | 315.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 75c | 301.47$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.32 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 7c | 300.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 49c | 214.24$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 39c | 211$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.97 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…1b4fbacked Yes | 21c | 204.15$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.79 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…4c65backed No | 66c | 201.82$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.53 | 278 | 52.9%147 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 54c | 179.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 38c | 178.19$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.53 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed No | 75c | 158$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.1 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c65…2e0dbacked Yes | 64c | 156.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 23c | 153.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 79c | 148.88$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.92 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c7…0b47backed Yes | 79c | 143.1$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 40c | 135.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.66 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 55c | 133.43$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.95 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…3fa9backed Yes | 50c | 129.15$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.63 | 313 | 19.2%60 W · 253 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 73c | 122.41$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.48 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 76c | 112.13$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.81 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a2…b8fabacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.49 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…dfb5backed Yes | 15c | 99.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.43 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 55c | 97.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.77 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…d600backed Yes | 41c | 95.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.21 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 70c | 85.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…07dfbacked Yes | 57c | 84.88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 70c | 79.95$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 65c | 75.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe2…eb81backed Yes | 45c | 75.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5824…7307backed Yes | 58c | 74$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d8…56bbbacked Yes | 45c | 69.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 33c | 68.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 38c | 68.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 39c | 64.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 80c | 60$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 40c | 58.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 18c | 58.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 80c | 57.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 42c | 51.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked No | 42c | 51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 60c | 49.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2292…65a2backed Yes | 72c | 46.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 79c | 46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10bc…c740backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc295…c520backed Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbf…d779backed Yes | 50c | 42.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbe…b95ebacked No | 70c | 42.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 419 | 66.6%279 W · 140 L | +36.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 58c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 54c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 77c | 36.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e8…2e62backed No | 57c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 44c | 33.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…539bbacked No | 62c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 427 | 62.8%268 W · 159 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d0…69c9backed Yes | 55c | 30.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…75ddbacked Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 241 | 41.9%101 W · 140 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 69c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked No | 72c | 27.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…ca22backed No | 47c | 26.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb07…5b0fbacked No | 57c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 120 | 60%72 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 46c | 25.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 67c | 24.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 75c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 62c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…d572backed Yes | 50c | 22.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 374 | 65.2%244 W · 130 L | +23.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 70c | 20.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d3…e694backed No | 77c | 20.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 927 | 61.7%572 W · 355 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 50c | 19.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…ad5abacked No | 56c | 19.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 502 | 61%306 W · 196 L | -17.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…b97ebacked No | 54c | 19.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 280 | 35.4%99 W · 181 L | -69.3wins | -0.25per pick | 60cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 25-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 74c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 1,313 | 76.1%999 W · 314 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.