Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c7f955f7a7414f4a400eff5b912547d486df1749657be39a050d0def3b89a67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 44c | 699.92$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.51 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe241…5b42backed No | 50c | 267.05$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.53 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 54c | 263.33$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.2 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 42c | 260.59$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.24 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 54c | 247.19$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.48 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 43c | 210.5$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.02 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…2475backed No | 53c | 205.56$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.95 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 23c | 204.46$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.45 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc4…4089backed No | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 56c | 199.98$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.99 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 57c | 192.19$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.7 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 17c | 191$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 61c | 133.05$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.77 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 55c | 131.01$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked Yes | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 74c | 129$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.95 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 39c | 121.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 16c | 120.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.81 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 56c | 115$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6786…c8ffbacked No | 52c | 111$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.62 | 324 | 40.1%130 W · 194 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 48c | 105.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 53c | 102$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 51c | 101.35$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…9b7fbacked No | 51c | 95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 58c | 93.95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.07 | 564 | 24.5%138 W · 426 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…dacdbacked Yes | 27c | 91.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 299 | 48.2%144 W · 155 L | +28.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 79c | 90.48$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.61 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c1…b127backed No | 37c | 89.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 170 | 20%34 W · 136 L | -21.0wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 59c | 89$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…dc90backed Yes | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed Yes | 43c | 85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.55 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 58c | 68.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 55c | 64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 178 | 59%105 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 42c | 59.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked Yes | 47c | 59.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 577 | 47%271 W · 306 L | +40.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 65c | 57.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…04e1backed Yes | 45c | 57.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 371 | 44.2%164 W · 207 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 57c | 55.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 49c | 54.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…e7edbacked Yes | 40c | 52.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 547 | 35.5%194 W · 353 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 60c | 51.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf261…3335backed Yes | 50c | 50.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ad…46f0backed Yes | 46c | 45.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…75ddbacked No | 58c | 43.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 241 | 41.9%101 W · 140 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 76c | 42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 64c | 40.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…0fdcbacked No | 56c | 39.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 1,024 | 25%256 W · 768 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 56c | 39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 35c | 38.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e1…e2a0backed No | 55c | 36.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3427…2ff7backed Yes | 41c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 43c | 34.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 35c | 34.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 59c | 34.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 54c | 32.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b4…fc14backed No | 54c | 32.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 203 | 47.8%97 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d0…d991backed Yes | 38c | 32.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 46c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 667 | 58%387 W · 280 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…ceb2backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 136 | 37.5%51 W · 85 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 45c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 48c | 29.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 348 | 46.6%162 W · 186 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 46c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 497 | 50.3%250 W · 247 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…085cbacked Yes | 77c | 25.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 616 | 76.3%470 W · 146 L | +92.4wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…2adebacked Yes | 50c | 24.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 259 | 47.1%122 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…4363backed Yes | 44c | 24.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 48c | 23.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3473…e864backed Yes | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…5b5ebacked No | 61c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…a394backed No | 54c | 22.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 124 | 37.1%46 W · 78 L | -17.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 54c | 21.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 59c | 21.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af9…3144backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 219 | 50.7%111 W · 108 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,043 | 62.9%656 W · 387 L | -11.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 927 | 61.7%572 W · 355 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 57c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ded…31ffbacked Yes | 52c | 19.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…b97ebacked No | 57c | 18.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 280 | 35.4%99 W · 181 L | -69.3wins | -0.25per pick | 60cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 25-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 59c | 17.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.