Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x757962295b1ec5bfde1819194ca4fb54fac4bed9ea93f9ce802bb73caa791d80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked No | 54c | 895.89$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.09 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 29c | 405.09$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.24 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 27c | 273.37$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.35 | 564 | 24.5%138 W · 426 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 64c | 233.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.88 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 45c | 219.25$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.46 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1c4fbacked Yes | 38c | 209.21$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.45 | 815 | 58.5%477 W · 338 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 34c | 208.15$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.29 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 28c | 205.69$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed Yes | 79c | 204.45$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.16 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…bbaabacked No | 55c | 173.77$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.93 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 33c | 165.93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,048 | 38.1%399 W · 649 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6786…c8ffbacked No | 70c | 153.81$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.57 | 324 | 40.1%130 W · 194 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 69c | 144.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.96 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 58c | 140.4$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.34 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b3…14f8backed No | 80c | 133.17$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 124 | 66.1%82 W · 42 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 21c | 116.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.29 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 77c | 114.34$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 37c | 112.74$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.74 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 62c | 112.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 66c | 110.83$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed Yes | 60c | 108.17$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.63 | 341 | 51.3%175 W · 166 L | -26.9wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9973…6e40backed Yes | 39c | 106.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 40c | 104$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 62c | 97$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 69c | 90$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.39 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8934…fdb6backed Yes | 36c | 84.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 34c | 83.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.03 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b4…fc14backed Yes | 36c | 77.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 203 | 47.8%97 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c1…b127backed Yes | 20c | 75.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 170 | 20%34 W · 136 L | -21.0wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 22c | 68.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 51c | 67.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked Yes | 21c | 67.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 407 | 41.3%168 W · 239 L | +32.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb38…467cbacked Yes | 76c | 66.83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…92e4backed No | 48c | 65.73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 277 | 44%122 W · 155 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 64c | 64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 178 | 59%105 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x998a…745bbacked No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 47c | 59.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 65c | 57.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…9f83backed Yes | 73c | 54.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 84 | 76.2%64 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 29c | 54.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 49c | 54.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf956…9bf0backed Yes | 35c | 53.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3e…814abacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…9157backed Yes | 35c | 52.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 245 | 31%76 W · 169 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 65c | 52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 605 | 50.7%307 W · 298 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a2…b8fabacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 30c | 49.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9f…799cbacked Yes | 74c | 45.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 72cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…d572backed Yes | 39c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 374 | 65.2%244 W · 130 L | +23.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 69c | 43.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x515f…a606backed No | 63c | 42.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…8834backed No | 72c | 41.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 60c | 38.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 77c | 37.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 1,088 | 55.5%604 W · 484 L | -27.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9009…1621backed Yes | 50c | 37.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 196 | 63.3%124 W · 72 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f8…8e32backed Yes | 67c | 37.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 60c | 35.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 78c | 34.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdec3…38b0backed Yes | 38c | 33.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5749…73abbacked Yes | 36c | 32.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 65c | 32.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a56…be30backed Yes | 70c | 31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 464 | 52.2%242 W · 222 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 577 | 47%271 W · 306 L | +40.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 818 | 55%450 W · 368 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…8d41backed No | 61c | 29.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 423 | 66.4%281 W · 142 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 67c | 27.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…2adebacked Yes | 47c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 259 | 47.1%122 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 73c | 25.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 70c | 24.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe848…fa2bbacked Yes | 78c | 23.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 77c | 22.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8752…31b6backed Yes | 70c | 21.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186d…8bfebacked Yes | 73c | 20.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 468 | 57.3%268 W · 200 L | -22.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5927…ba9abacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 287 | 62.4%179 W · 108 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…ea22backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7274…c205backed Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 213 | 61%130 W · 83 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7861…3084backed Yes | 71c | 19.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 152 | 70.4%107 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…25cabacked Yes | 61c | 19.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 122 | 33.6%41 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…8809backed Yes | 79c | 18.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 64c | 16.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 24?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.