Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6067d873f497fa3b4504576c56f880f16160f8a66827423ebb5d22073555d70b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd969…0932backed Yes | 46c | 650.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 19c | 644$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.9 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 70c | 559.68$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.95 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 79c | 484.7$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.85 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 29c | 464.15$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.92 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…27fbbacked Yes | 24c | 458.73$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.24 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d56…eb97backed Yes | 3c | 453.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 26c | 436.8$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.61 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…53b0backed No | 76c | 372.42$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.97 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…d951backed No | 79c | 360.93$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.08 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186c…1d32backed Yes | 29c | 349.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 313.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 71c | 307$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.28 | 382 | 43.2%165 W · 217 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 71c | 288.55$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6786…c8ffbacked Yes | 26c | 288.3$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.01 | 324 | 40.1%130 W · 194 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 28c | 277.29$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.87 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 22c | 250.69$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 718 | 23.4%168 W · 550 L | -26.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 80c | 237$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.9 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 25c | 231.82$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked Yes | 28c | 208$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.33 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 6c | 200.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…2e20backed Yes | 7c | 198.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 71c | 197.36$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed No | 73c | 190.7$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.79 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 22c | 190.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 8c | 182.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 74c | 179.79$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 71c | 175.9$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 71c | 146$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7831…a330backed Yes | 26c | 138.07$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…4f88backed No | 71c | 135.75$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 388 | 60.1%233 W · 155 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 74c | 135.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 72c | 133.86$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…b459backed Yes | 12c | 130$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 381 | 46.5%177 W · 204 L | +19.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8867…7683backed Yes | 24c | 127.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 22c | 125.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…5b5ebacked Yes | 27c | 119$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Yes | 35c | 108.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 182 | 40.1%73 W · 109 L | -16.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…e889backed No | 72c | 108.19$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 21c | 104.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 65c | 100.08$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bd…2c9dbacked Yes | 11c | 99.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 213 | 40.8%87 W · 126 L | +23.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +34%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 48c | 98.23$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.55 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 18c | 95.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 14c | 90$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fba…3adcbacked Yes | 23c | 89.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 16c | 83.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 26c | 83.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 28c | 79.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…1e6dbacked Yes | 29c | 78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 327 | 38.2%125 W · 202 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 73c | 73.31$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cb…6882backed No | 71c | 67.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 74c | 64.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 74c | 63.83$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 19c | 63.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 72c | 62.85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf956…9bf0backed Yes | 29c | 62.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…75ddbacked Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 241 | 41.9%101 W · 140 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 27c | 59.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 69c | 59.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 26c | 58.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 28c | 57.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,048 | 38.1%399 W · 649 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 35c | 55.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 73c | 54.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0288…ee2ebacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 222 | 32%71 W · 151 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccc…61dfbacked Yes | 27c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617a…8c79backed Yes | 22c | 49.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 24c | 49.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 72c | 47.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 26c | 45.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 73c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3f…5d84backed No | 74c | 39.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 802 | 75.7%607 W · 195 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…259bbacked No | 76c | 39.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 71c | 39.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…2475backed No | 71c | 39.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 72c | 37.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Yes | 33c | 36.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 71c | 36.69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 48c | 35.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 36c | 35.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…7bf9backed No | 72c | 33.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 546 | 56.4%308 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…33c9backed No | 67c | 31.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 769 | 36.3%279 W · 490 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed No | 73c | 30.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x034c…5f17backed Yes | 34c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…782cbacked No | 63c | 29.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 1,876 | 63%1,181 W · 695 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 76c | 29.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 136 | 72.1%98 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 74c | 29.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff5…14babacked No | 71c | 28.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 153 | 75.2%115 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…9373backed No | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 56 | 75%42 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 60c | 25.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd30d…fd5dbacked No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x774c…5a80backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e3…9a51backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 108 | 30.6%33 W · 75 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…6534backed No | 70c | 21.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82cc…d569backed No | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 111 | 73%81 W · 30 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 76c | 20.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62d3…e694backed No | 71c | 20.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3f…fde2backed No | 71c | 20.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 22?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.