Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3178512e85be0530fe0a08f5382b8c72f39d6f4948f38ed86cbf38445489bc56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 3c | 3,910$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.57 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 32c | 717.12$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.39 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 35c | 612.55$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.66 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 7c | 609.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 80c | 480.45$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.39 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 79c | 475.79$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.89 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6786…c8ffbacked Yes | 6c | 473.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 324 | 40.1%130 W · 194 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…5668backed Yes | 13c | 377.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 96 | 17.7%17 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 36c | 345.9$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.06 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 7c | 340.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 5c | 270.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 17c | 267.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 718 | 23.4%168 W · 550 L | -26.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…005bbacked Yes | 7c | 248.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 167 | 9.6%16 W · 151 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 41c | 245.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d56…eb97backed Yes | 5c | 223.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 7c | 220.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 13c | 214.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 22c | 205.66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…7d9cbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 64c | 199.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 67c | 179.79$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 67c | 176.4$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 6c | 167.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 36c | 166.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…8239backed Yes | 19c | 155$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 61c | 148.09$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.41 | 382 | 43.2%165 W · 217 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 70c | 145.2$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 59c | 140$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7831…a330backed Yes | 18c | 136.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked Yes | 10c | 123.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 472 | 39.8%188 W · 284 L | +31.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93cc…454ebacked Yes | 9c | 120.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 255 | 41.2%105 W · 150 L | +22.4wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 63c | 109.82$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 77c | 104.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…7f72backed Yes | 39c | 103.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 191 | 37.2%71 W · 120 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x515f…a606backed No | 68c | 98.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 12c | 94.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 33c | 81.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 62c | 80.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fba…3adcbacked Yes | 17c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 69c | 72.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 40c | 71.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…825abacked Yes | 38c | 65.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 625 | 55.2%345 W · 280 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 63c | 63.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 34c | 56.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…735bbacked Yes | 32c | 55.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 66c | 54.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0288…ee2ebacked Yes | 29c | 51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 222 | 32%71 W · 151 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccc…61dfbacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed Yes | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 31c | 48.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 67c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 69c | 44.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf261…3335backed Yes | 38c | 43.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b5…e373backed Yes | 37c | 41.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -12.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6b…9f9bbacked Yes | 36c | 41.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed Yes | 32c | 40.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 64c | 39.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…acd4backed Yes | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 59c | 36.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cb…6882backed No | 66c | 36.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6793…1869backed No | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 315 | 64.8%204 W · 111 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 60c | 35.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…bbbebacked No | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xede4…1c40backed No | 70c | 34.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 153 | 69.9%107 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 61c | 33.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 33c | 33.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa747…bebcbacked No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…1cf6backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…782cbacked No | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1,876 | 63%1,181 W · 695 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…2475backed No | 70c | 29.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0428…7d12backed Yes | 35c | 29.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 301 | 36.9%111 W · 190 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 59c | 27.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62e1…4e25backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 60c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…1479backed No | 65c | 19.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed No | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…24e0backed No | 67c | 17.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 258 | 77.5%200 W · 58 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…6534backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 22?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.