Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedb1b619e70101ec9ec81dcf9e78e77b315561ba3f571d5dbf92944eba34d549
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 18c | 1,628$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.51 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 35c | 769.16$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.42 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 56c | 676.31$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.4 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 24c | 598.88$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.38 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 3c | 575.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 43c | 529.75$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.65 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 59c | 476.29$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.76 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 32c | 355.66$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.59 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6786…c8ffbacked Yes | 11c | 333.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.65 | 324 | 40.1%130 W · 194 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 12c | 325.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 40c | 311.65$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.99 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 27c | 307$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.46 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 47c | 303.42$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.04 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…e902backed Yes | 57c | 296.87$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.37 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 37c | 286.77$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.17 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 36c | 285.7$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.85 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…5668backed Yes | 14c | 270.44$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.27 | 96 | 17.7%17 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…53b0backed Yes | 69c | 270.08$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.63 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 4c | 260.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 471 | 36.5%172 W · 299 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 11c | 258.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.89 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 55c | 246.1$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.73 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bd…2c9dbacked No | 27c | 224.1$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 213 | 40.8%87 W · 126 L | +23.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +34%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 10c | 223.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.3 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2349…1646backed No | 8c | 217.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 482 | 61.8%298 W · 184 L | +43.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 24c | 210.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.96 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 11c | 187.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.8 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 52c | 170.54$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.72 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 8c | 169.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.76 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…262dbacked No | 17c | 149.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | +21.0wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c3…92fcbacked Yes | 31c | 147.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 176 | 49.4%87 W · 89 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 76c | 145.2$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.55 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 29c | 141.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 718 | 23.4%168 W · 550 L | -26.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 78c | 140$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…9a58backed Yes | 71c | 139.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3b…3a20backed Yes | 60c | 132.46$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 169 | 37.3%63 W · 106 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…005bbacked Yes | 15c | 125.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 167 | 9.6%16 W · 151 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4580…4357backed Yes | 9c | 124.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 65 | 20%13 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7831…a330backed Yes | 16c | 122.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.12 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x358b…3722backed Yes | 13c | 113$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.54 | 525 | 33.1%174 W · 351 L | +21.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8867…7683backed Yes | 17c | 108.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35fc…ac54backed No | 29c | 104.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | +24.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ce…49e0backed Yes | 58c | 103.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.73 | 455 | 40%182 W · 273 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 29c | 102.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…07dfbacked Yes | 47c | 94.74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.41 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 42c | 92.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed Yes | 59c | 91.2$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.02 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 77c | 87.02$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…75ddbacked Yes | 12c | 86.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 241 | 41.9%101 W · 140 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 65c | 85.19$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb0…c615backed Yes | 12c | 84.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.79 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93cc…454ebacked No | 39c | 83.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 255 | 41.2%105 W · 150 L | +22.4wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd3…af33backed No | 50c | 82.31$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…42e0backed Yes | 66c | 78.9$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 71c | 77.06$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fba…3adcbacked Yes | 13c | 76.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.47 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 20c | 74.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…4f88backed Yes | 64c | 73.52$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 388 | 60.1%233 W · 155 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9009…1621backed Yes | 68c | 72.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 196 | 63.3%124 W · 72 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb9…ce8fbacked No | 31c | 72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…d244backed No | 20c | 70.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 17c | 70$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…f753backed Yes | 78c | 64.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 236 | 68.2%161 W · 75 L | +18.8wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 42c | 58.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 63c | 55.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2753…e28abacked Yes | 63c | 46.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 420 | 61.2%257 W · 163 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…d572backed Yes | 78c | 46.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 374 | 65.2%244 W · 130 L | +23.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 71c | 46.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 50c | 42.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 59c | 42.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…1cf6backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fe…74bcbacked Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 186 | 71%132 W · 54 L | +19.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d70…cc5ebacked No | 75c | 38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 156 | 66%103 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 76c | 36.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked Yes | 71c | 35.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked No | 29c | 35.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…de7dbacked Yes | 43c | 34.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…2202backed Yes | 65c | 30.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed No | 56c | 30.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…782cbacked No | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1,876 | 63%1,181 W · 695 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…b459backed Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 381 | 46.5%177 W · 204 L | +19.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…b6ddbacked Yes | 62c | 29.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +7.0wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7caa…f4efbacked Yes | 63c | 27.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed Yes | 61c | 25.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 350 | 63.1%221 W · 129 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…3dbfbacked Yes | 71c | 25.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 71c | 25.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 59c | 22.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617a…8c79backed No | 73c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7c…dc18backed Yes | 60c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3e…3865backed Yes | 65c | 20.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 91 | 76.9%70 W · 21 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…3f36backed Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…ea84backed Yes | 78c | 19.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 56c | 18.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…ad5abacked No | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 502 | 61%306 W · 196 L | -17.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 76c | 15.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf17b…a916backed Yes | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.