Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd08b25645b3138cfd5e52a2a23bd49edcfea8b524d743f8fd1e62c42bc0698ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 14c | 2,910$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.81 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…8511backed Yes | 23c | 1,529$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.69 | 251 | 35.1%88 W · 163 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,391$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.55 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 15c | 1,345$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.15 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 14c | 1,298$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.8 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…005bbacked Yes | 7c | 800.61$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.73 | 167 | 9.6%16 W · 151 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…f218backed Yes | 7c | 770.28$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 10c | 763.53$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.89 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 22c | 736.62$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.73 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28c…cdf8backed No | 79c | 722.8$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.89 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 14c | 684.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.72 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…932abacked Yes | 5c | 608.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 4c | 594.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3b…05aabacked Yes | 10c | 564.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.11 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 77c | 506.54$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.73 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed Yes | 12c | 505.02$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 76c | 500.04$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.93 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 78c | 464$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.88 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…39d5backed Yes | 19c | 429.15$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.81 | 231 | 29.4%68 W · 163 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked No | 76c | 393.89$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.53 | 720 | 42.2%304 W · 416 L | +26.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 9c | 385.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed No | 77c | 369$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1839…a2a2backed Yes | 11c | 351.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -88%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 60c | 337.83$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.82 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 8c | 330.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5641…6d0dbacked Yes | 13c | 329.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 563 | 22.9%129 W · 434 L | -32.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7adc…a971backed Yes | 22c | 312.6$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x874b…4af0backed Yes | 9c | 303.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…9eedbacked Yes | 6c | 300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 157 | 17.2%27 W · 130 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe547…271dbacked Yes | 7c | 274.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 15c | 259.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197d…7006backed Yes | 9c | 246.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 22c | 244.04$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 79c | 236.37$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.78 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 13c | 235.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 73c | 216$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 75c | 215.11$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 18c | 211.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 46c | 206.79$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 8c | 173.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 20c | 172.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa2…f1f1backed Yes | 31c | 170.59$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed Yes | 15c | 166.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 7c | 157.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…5f93backed Yes | 11c | 151.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed Yes | 11c | 140$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0308…55c6backed Yes | 9c | 133.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb182…aef4backed Yes | 17c | 131.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x361c…99d4backed No | 79c | 126.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 119 | 65.5%78 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7142…e79ebacked Yes | 15c | 121.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 68c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4441…680abacked Yes | 30c | 116.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked Yes | 11c | 109.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 472 | 39.8%188 W · 284 L | +31.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cb…6882backed No | 78c | 108.46$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed Yes | 19c | 105$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…ea62backed No | 75c | 103.13$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…0cc3backed Yes | 11c | 93.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b37…8f10backed Yes | 21c | 89.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 79c | 88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 15c | 81.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d48…3fdfbacked No | 69c | 80.14$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…0d6bbacked No | 72c | 74.85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 156 | 69.2%108 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65a5…2aeebacked Yes | 18c | 64.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeec8…b2c9backed Yes | 31c | 63.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddba…e638backed No | 77c | 52.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 408 | 62.3%254 W · 154 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…190dbacked Yes | 28c | 50.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…ea2fbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…03cebacked No | 70c | 49.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 76c | 45.93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…ca22backed No | 77c | 45.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x109c…9cc4backed Yes | 39c | 45.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…07dfbacked Yes | 46c | 45.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe43f…a889backed No | 74c | 42.92$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 174 | 57.5%100 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0018…83a4backed Yes | 25c | 40.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 76c | 39.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c1…da4bbacked Yes | 45c | 33.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 77c | 33.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…434fbacked Yes | 37c | 32.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…64a4backed No | 77c | 32.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed No | 71c | 26.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 350 | 63.1%221 W · 129 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422a…dc4bbacked No | 76c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa016…67c2backed No | 67c | 25.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 511 | 56.6%289 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e3…9a51backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 108 | 30.6%33 W · 75 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…24e0backed No | 60c | 18.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 258 | 77.5%200 W · 58 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 72c | 13.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 21?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or below on July 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on July 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 21?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.