Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34673b74e742f738583da4301d368f754fc2e877b4353f34bb18dd3b310badf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 31c | 1,720$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…8511backed Yes | 40c | 1,703$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.73 | 251 | 35.1%88 W · 163 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 26c | 1,000$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.05 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed Yes | 18c | 838.36$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.6 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 29c | 763.79$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.09 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe241…5b42backed No | 73c | 684.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.94 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 72c | 510.03$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.98 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 74c | 469.73$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.69 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 75c | 441.06$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.02 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 27c | 418.58$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.21 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 68c | 416.66$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.76 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 74c | 411.83$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.08 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 42c | 351.79$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.36 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 5c | 345.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…1c17backed Yes | 28c | 300$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.81 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…eeafbacked Yes | 21c | 280.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.54 | 167 | 33.5%56 W · 111 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 68c | 274$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.64 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 74c | 262.95$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.11 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 5c | 244.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 471 | 36.5%172 W · 299 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 47c | 235.61$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.85 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 67c | 216.78$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.27 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 64c | 210.12$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.04 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 67c | 209.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 60c | 195$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.35 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed No | 52c | 191$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.17 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 68c | 182.28$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff3e…a90fbacked Yes | 9c | 180.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 76c | 173.98$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 68c | 167$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 10c | 162.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7adc…a971backed Yes | 35c | 159.03$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed Yes | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 35c | 149.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…2313backed No | 70c | 145.84$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 262 | 56.5%148 W · 114 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 71c | 141.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 76c | 141$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 30c | 139.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 70c | 133$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…a081backed Yes | 21c | 121$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 60c | 118.37$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.39 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 44c | 116.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…7f72backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 191 | 37.2%71 W · 120 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…ea2fbacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…9eedbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 157 | 17.2%27 W · 130 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 439 | 59.5%261 W · 178 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5238…be0dbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 66c | 99.82$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 27c | 99.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…5f93backed Yes | 32c | 98.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 70c | 96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 69c | 96$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5641…6d0dbacked Yes | 18c | 92.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 563 | 22.9%129 W · 434 L | -32.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…9597backed Yes | 44c | 91.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 71c | 90.33$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 633 | 23.9%151 W · 482 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fae…70ddbacked Yes | 17c | 89.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 78c | 80.48$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa235…2472backed Yes | 48c | 75.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 26c | 75.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbd…3bedbacked No | 61c | 69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 375 | 41.6%156 W · 219 L | -52.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 62c | 68.66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed Yes | 30c | 66.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cb…6882backed No | 63c | 65.24$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65a5…2aeebacked No | 69c | 65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 74c | 64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 74c | 63.7$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7142…e79ebacked Yes | 38c | 62.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 34c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x401c…6f40backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4441…680abacked Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 19c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 35c | 59.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 57c | 55.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2049…c390backed Yes | 53c | 55.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed Yes | 26c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c33…f910backed Yes | 46c | 54.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 74c | 54.78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x267d…ed00backed Yes | 23c | 51.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfb…636dbacked Yes | 20c | 50.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 112 | 25%28 W · 84 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 78c | 50.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 605 | 50.7%307 W · 298 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 260 | 67.3%175 W · 85 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 57c | 49.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x590a…70ccbacked Yes | 24c | 47.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 69c | 46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 58c | 45.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked Yes | 42c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 542 | 53%287 W · 255 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d48…3fdfbacked No | 73c | 42.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x468e…5548backed No | 74c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…f4fcbacked Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 65c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…e0c1backed No | 56c | 35.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c1…da4bbacked Yes | 45c | 33.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea5…0b15backed Yes | 37c | 32.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 71c | 32.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f5…6d8dbacked Yes | 37c | 32.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 21?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or below on July 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on July 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 21?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.