Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3077c7567cceeb118eb58bd2a425ab25c540ea1f41fb6379242308a8de3ce73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcbce…507dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,103$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff3e…a90fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,001$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 3c | 761.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes | 20c | 657.92$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.33 | 720 | 42.2%304 W · 416 L | +26.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…005bbacked Yes | 3c | 513.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 167 | 9.6%16 W · 151 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28c…cdf8backed Yes | 29c | 400$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.4 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 30c | 350$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 38c | 299.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.99 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 37c | 283$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 78c | 270$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 80c | 264.48$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 17c | 257.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked Yes | 30c | 195$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 30c | 191.2$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…c08ebacked Yes | 37c | 189.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 74c | 181$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 79c | 153.11$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 68c | 152.26$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed No | 54c | 147.54$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.21 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…e7edbacked Yes | 36c | 144.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 547 | 35.5%194 W · 353 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…5f93backed Yes | 31c | 141.02$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.31 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbd…3bedbacked No | 54c | 128.93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 375 | 41.6%156 W · 219 L | -52.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 38c | 126.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 633 | 23.9%151 W · 482 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa235…2472backed Yes | 25c | 114.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked No | 74c | 113.37$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 399 | 66.2%264 W · 135 L | +33.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 68c | 111.59$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 72c | 99.82$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 73c | 99.13$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 60c | 95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 65c | 83.7$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 68c | 79.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…b9a3backed Yes | 34c | 72.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +62%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5641…6d0dbacked Yes | 16c | 67.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 563 | 22.9%129 W · 434 L | -32.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 36c | 67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 68c | 61.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked No | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 542 | 53%287 W · 255 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…4c1ebacked No | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 496 | 75.4%374 W · 122 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8810…0e4dbacked Yes | 25c | 59.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…3fa9backed Yes | 22c | 59.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 313 | 19.2%60 W · 253 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…2475backed Yes | 24c | 56.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5d…38eabacked Yes | 47c | 53.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…c27cbacked Yes | 29c | 53.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 149 | 32.9%49 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 74c | 53.2$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6b5dbacked Yes | 22c | 50.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x738e…cc2cbacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 68 | 94.1%64 W · 4 L | +12.7wins | +0.19per pick | 75cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…02c0backed Yes | 42c | 47.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…75ddbacked Yes | 27c | 46.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 241 | 41.9%101 W · 140 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed No | 60c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 605 | 50.7%307 W · 298 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 46c | 43.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…3884backed Yes | 36c | 41.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8e…aa69backed No | 63c | 41.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 308 | 49%151 W · 157 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3f…5d84backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 802 | 75.7%607 W · 195 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 55c | 38.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ed…9d98backed No | 75c | 36.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 822 | 68.7%565 W · 257 L | +72.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 80c | 35.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 75c | 35.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 352 | 64.8%228 W · 124 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed Yes | 31c | 33.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 31c | 33.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f5…6d8dbacked Yes | 32c | 31.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…64a4backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 67c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 54c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 47c | 27.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 64c | 27.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf913…9e87backed No | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 90 | 66.7%60 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe43f…a889backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 174 | 57.5%100 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…0d6bbacked No | 65c | 23.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 156 | 69.2%108 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…0fdcbacked No | 66c | 22.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1,024 | 25%256 W · 768 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…9c6fbacked No | 65c | 21.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadd6…2a5fbacked No | 66c | 20.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 68c | 20.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…5585backed No | 53c | 19.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 52c | 19.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 64c | 19.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed No | 67c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 21?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or below on July 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on July 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 21?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.