Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa55c41e077bc075d79034af5f4647e201ee5ea1e5a9d8ae86761226f53b547ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 16c | 851.19$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.55 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 72c | 631.29$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.91 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 35c | 627.43$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.32 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 71c | 549$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.15 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 39c | 514.21$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.86 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 68c | 459.73$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.06 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 71c | 405.78$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.66 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 40c | 375.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…8511backed Yes | 50c | 355.61$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.06 | 251 | 35.1%88 W · 163 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 72c | 314.62$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.32 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 63c | 278.69$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.99 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579d…247cbacked Yes | 27c | 267.17$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.58 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 15c | 261.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 41c | 255.22$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 13c | 249.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 69c | 246$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.28 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 10c | 210.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 73c | 200.54$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 54c | 188.41$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.57 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7adc…a971backed Yes | 41c | 177.59$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.81 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked Yes | 34c | 172$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.01 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 76c | 167.14$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 65c | 161.43$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.75 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5641…6d0dbacked Yes | 27c | 160.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.51 | 563 | 22.9%129 W · 434 L | -32.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed Yes | 26c | 158.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed Yes | 41c | 155.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 1,174 | 54.9%644 W · 530 L | +49.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 73c | 151.09$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 54c | 148.33$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 59c | 147$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 16c | 146.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 73c | 142.89$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 76c | 139.75$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4453…fc75backed Yes | 16c | 139.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 57c | 138.58$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.07 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 53c | 136.22$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c2…a675backed Yes | 48c | 133.53$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 72c | 133.43$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…005bbacked Yes | 10c | 125.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 167 | 9.6%16 W · 151 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 35c | 125.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed No | 59c | 125.06$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.79 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…a2bebacked Yes | 43c | 123.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 79c | 123.07$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 69c | 107.33$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 59c | 106.44$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 59c | 103.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 75c | 102.23$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d9…ec8abacked Yes | 21c | 101.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 156 | 30.8%48 W · 108 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 60c | 100.81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…c64fbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc865…7477backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | -34.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…e17ebacked No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…eeafbacked Yes | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 167 | 33.5%56 W · 111 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Yes | 36c | 99.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 60c | 89.72$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1c4fbacked Yes | 45c | 84.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 815 | 58.5%477 W · 338 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 36c | 84.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 27c | 82.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 73c | 81.87$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 30c | 81.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…8e07backed No | 44c | 80.18$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 202 | 50.5%102 W · 100 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 45c | 79.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 33c | 79.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e6…40aebacked Yes | 54c | 76.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc14b…a589backed No | 78c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 69c | 74.46$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 59c | 74.08$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 59c | 73.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…07dfbacked No | 49c | 73.69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Yes | 69c | 72.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 67c | 72.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 20c | 70.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 69c | 69.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 69c | 64.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…5f93backed Yes | 37c | 63.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 46c | 62.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 403 | 37.2%150 W · 253 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a3…b889backed Yes | 50c | 61.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b6…402ebacked Yes | 53c | 59.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 44c | 59.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…63e1backed Yes | 72c | 58.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 61c | 58.79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 57c | 55.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4f…f83bbacked Yes | 52c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 76c | 52.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 710 | 57.9%411 W · 299 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 29c | 52.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.22 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 57c | 50.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 55c | 50.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 541 | 54%292 W · 249 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 605 | 50.7%307 W · 298 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…5585backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d48…3fdfbacked No | 66c | 49.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 46c | 49.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b5…c988backed Yes | 52c | 46.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 50c | 45.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…8ff1backed Yes | 52c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 195 | 41.5%81 W · 114 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 32c | 44.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 62c | 44.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…5a3ebacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.32per pick | 40cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x69f5…6d8dbacked Yes | 52c | 40.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 19?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on July 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 19?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.