Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbea7708825309c9c4c9438e656cd7669b222f77bd8787ffa4c9a8bedd83aa654
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf28c…cdf8backed No | 79c | 1,272$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.57 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed Yes | 9c | 663.3$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.73 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 13c | 618.09$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.71 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 63c | 612$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.12 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 3c | 525.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 35c | 499.97$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 22c | 452.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 73c | 399.79$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.38 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 40c | 381.26$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.64 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed No | 78c | 371.49$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.03 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 16c | 302.12$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 10c | 300.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 21c | 288.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed Yes | 32c | 286.48$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.77 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 32c | 274.84$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.72 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 76c | 272.01$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…8511backed Yes | 45c | 260$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 251 | 35.1%88 W · 163 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 39c | 257.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…a2bebacked Yes | 41c | 253.83$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.06 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 28c | 221.47$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.78 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 76c | 215$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd0…b52fbacked Yes | 12c | 193.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 66c | 192.51$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.17 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 67c | 185.19$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 59c | 152.83$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.66 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 64c | 146.86$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 70c | 145.33$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.62 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 24c | 138.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 67c | 127.19$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 22c | 125.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec8…b2c9backed Yes | 16c | 121.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2df9…4534backed Yes | 23c | 120$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…39d5backed Yes | 43c | 116.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 231 | 29.4%68 W · 163 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 12c | 116.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Yes | 26c | 114.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 73c | 114.75$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Yes | 12c | 109.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 35c | 101.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 23c | 101$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 32c | 100.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb58d…1f46backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…9eedbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 157 | 17.2%27 W · 130 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed Yes | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,010 | 58.1%587 W · 423 L | -34.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 36c | 98.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 37c | 89.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 30c | 86.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 16c | 86.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 60c | 85.39$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7adc…a971backed Yes | 40c | 85.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 27c | 85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 74c | 84.97$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 36c | 84.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45f1…fc60backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 22c | 71.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…5a3ebacked Yes | 28c | 71.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.32per pick | 40cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x75bb…e60cbacked Yes | 37c | 67.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76c2…a675backed Yes | 38c | 66.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 71c | 65.47$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 34c | 65.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 57c | 63.52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2057…0629backed Yes | 37c | 62.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 78c | 61.02$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 41c | 59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed Yes | 27c | 56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 66c | 53.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 63c | 53.03$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9210…70a4backed Yes | 45c | 51.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67e…8929backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…b108backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 344 | 57%196 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 64c | 45.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 57c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…2adebacked Yes | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 259 | 47.1%122 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 58c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 62c | 44.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6add…abf0backed Yes | 44c | 43.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ed…156fbacked No | 62c | 41.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 42c | 40.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4f…f83bbacked Yes | 35c | 35.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed No | 66c | 35.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…9611backed No | 57c | 34.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 57c | 34.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb07…5b0fbacked No | 56c | 33.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 120 | 60%72 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…735bbacked Yes | 39c | 33.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f4…d093backed Yes | 38c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 150 | 32%48 W · 102 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 57c | 29.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 136 | 72.1%98 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a1…0212backed No | 57c | 26.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 252 | 58.7%148 W · 104 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 58c | 25.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed Yes | 41c | 25.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…8c10backed No | 75c | 24.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 93 | 66.7%62 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf913…9e87backed No | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 90 | 66.7%60 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…0be5backed No | 59c | 20.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 552 | 61.6%340 W · 212 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…0fdcbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1,024 | 25%256 W · 768 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…3f79backed No | 60c | 17.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 493 | 59%291 W · 202 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 19?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on July 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 19?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.