Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x392ddab130d5f5e6121417119896b303355bb677d3b579d426e25df1d1ea407a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 44c | 5,582$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 4,328$2,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.63 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6febbacked Under | 70c | 1,352$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 31c | 1,300$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…f708backed Over | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 1,061$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.74 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Under | 76c | 826.25$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.29 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Over | 48c | 630$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…b3a6backed Over | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 62c | 490.58$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.26 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5a…eef2backed Under | 72c | 417$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 69c | 410.62$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.88 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Under | 52c | 400$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61dd…bb24backed Over | 26c | 386.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked Under | 79c | 368.46$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebd…a7e8backed Over | 35c | 363.52$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.67 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…7f10backed Under | 78c | 344.4$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 54c | 335.41$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 35c | 286.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 46c | 241.32$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.85 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 50c | 194.75$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Over | 31c | 155.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf72…af1abacked Over | 48c | 149.6$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Over | 14c | 142.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +283.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 14c | 142.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +19.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 70c | 141.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.91 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 55c | 118.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 33c | 100.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over | 20c | 100.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Over | 33c | 99.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…c638backed Over | 20c | 95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 54c | 92.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…9166backed Over | 37c | 67.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Under | 75c | 65.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 51c | 64.58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Under | 79c | 60.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 26c | 58.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…a423backed Under | 77c | 49.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9379…f116backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Over | 54c | 46.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe39…10adbacked Under | 71c | 42.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 34c | 40.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19a4…a65bbacked Over | 44c | 37.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 58c | 34.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 22.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Under | 78c | 19.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 72c | 17.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 5.5this page
- FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Utrecht (-1.5)SC Heerenveen won
- Spread: FC Utrecht (-2.5)SC Heerenveen won
- Spread: SC Heerenveen (-1.5)FC Utrecht won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.