Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6443dfa8fe5a4a7f76af0fad510e21b12f34237dad6d509b40a8bd8d1efd8c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 51c | 4,765$2,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,411.89 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.02 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 1,393$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.61 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 46c | 1,345$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.37 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Under | 40c | 959.37$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 52c | 900$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 59c | 855.1$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.28 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Under | 61c | 818.15$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 42cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 61c | 623.44$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.14 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3914…3db9backed Under | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Under | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 482.53$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.75 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebd…a7e8backed Under | 3c | 457.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 55c | 436.36$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.36 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 30c | 400$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 59c | 359.37$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.47 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 39c | 263.1$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.61 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 40c | 237.31$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.93 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…34c0backed Under | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Under | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…af24backed Over | 57c | 199.96$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 60c | 195.97$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.39 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…0ebbbacked Over | 61c | 188.52$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.52 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfeff…42fbbacked Under | 78c | 179.54$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 77c | 154.55$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 59c | 147.19$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Under | 77c | 133.62$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 59c | 123.72$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.28 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 41c | 106.47$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 46c | 84.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 61c | 82.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 42c | 81.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 69c | 71.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 37c | 54.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb84…0ac8backed Under | 42c | 45.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Over | 46c | 42.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked Under | 43c | 39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2df…0bbfbacked Under | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 49c | 35.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 40c | 33.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe39…10adbacked Under | 78c | 32.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 58c | 31.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78be…df11backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Over | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a78…a6bebacked Under | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 58c | 23.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Under | 44c | 23.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 55c | 21.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 59c | 21.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 119 | 68.1%81 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 4.5Over won
- FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Utrecht (-1.5)SC Heerenveen won
- Spread: FC Utrecht (-2.5)SC Heerenveen won
- Spread: SC Heerenveen (-1.5)FC Utrecht won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.