NHL · resolved market
KHL: Traktor vs. Torpedo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x190c20206113850ef007cb0556358ece673dc1a017294c42010bc41293787ea1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Traktorof Traktor, Torpedo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,027 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2a…e715backed Torpedo | 42c | 325.92$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf396…e443backed Traktor | 49c | 317.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Traktor | 57c | 313.62$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.28 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…f103backed Traktor | 59c | 262.21$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.51 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Torpedo | 51c | 176.26$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.86 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Torpedo | 42c | 167.96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Torpedo | 41c | 102.93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe285…5754backed Torpedo | 41c | 89.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 38cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb72…2514backed Torpedo | 41c | 87.44$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…4d28backed Traktor | 58c | 86.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…ed19backed Torpedo | 41c | 85.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Torpedo | 40c | 84.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…fcaebacked Traktor | 60c | 83.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…f103backed Traktor | 58c | 81.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…b654backed Traktor | 58c | 79.64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…5c32backed Traktor | 58c | 78.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Torpedo | 51c | 72.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Torpedo | 41c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Torpedo | 41c | 66.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…4880backed Traktor | 59c | 59.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Torpedo | 51c | 50.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Torpedo | 43c | 48.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Torpedo | 41c | 47.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed Torpedo | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Torpedo | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Torpedo | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.