NHL · resolved market
KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92d918941897778d3f10adc1e5ce746c5c7b57bccbc493888474a13cde546bca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metallurg Magnitogorskof Metallurg Magnitogorsk, Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb295…e601backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 32c | 740.51$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…a251backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 31c | 463.23$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 40cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 67c | 446.99$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.51 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…5cd8backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 69c | 209.13$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.83 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 70c | 147$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…41c4backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 31c | 136.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1d…32fabacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 69c | 119.04$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb11d…3706backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 69c | 118.6$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…ed19backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 69c | 114.07$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd4…676ebacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 69c | 110.6$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…f103backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 69c | 110.06$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 181 | 32%58 W · 123 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 78c | 83.02$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 69c | 76.93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 31c | 76.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x739a…f78abacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 69c | 68.45$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 32c | 66.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb0…c9f8backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 69c | 62.03$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 68c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 68c | 42.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb342…cc01backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 31c | 38.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…6b7fbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 31c | 37.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07a6…5638backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 75c | 35.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 91 | 68.1%62 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…6e69backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e3…7b48backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +10.5wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.